OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1.2T
Open$249Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 71% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES71¢
NO29¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
OpenAI lands record $122 billion raise ahead of expected blockbuster IPO. $852bn valuation •
YESunusual_whales98%match32¢+122%
OpenAI has told investors compute target is aroudn $600 billion by 2030, per CNBC
YESBloomberg98%match25¢+184%
OpenAI is projecting that its revenue will grow at a fast clip in the next few years and exceed $280 billion in 2030, according to a person familiar with the matter.
NOunusual_whales98%match62¢-53%
OpenAI is close to finalizing the first phase of a new funding round that is likely to bring in more than $100 billion, per Bloomberg
NOThe Economist98%match76¢-62%
Four of OpenAI’s six big deal announcements this year were followed by a total combined net gain of $1.7trn among the 49 big companies in Bloomberg’s broad AI index plus Intel, Samsung and SoftBank. However, the gains for most concealed losses for some
NOCNBC98%match73¢-60%
Sam Altman touts ChatGPT's reaccelerating growth to employees as OpenAI closes in on $100 billion funding
YESCNBC99%match24¢+196%
OpenAI launches new enterprise platform in bid to win more business customers
Where does the news lean?
7YES6NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Related markets
See all outcomes for OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.