Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?
Open$22Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 72% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES72¢
NO28¢
+8 ptsas of
What moved the odds?
21 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The annual Nobel Peace Prize has been awarded to South African human rights judge Nancy Pillay.
Nabi Pillay, a prominent South African legal scholar, was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize.
The Nobel Peace Prize has been awarded to South African judge of Indian origin, Navi Pillay.
Reuters: Nobel Peace Prize awarded to Navi Pillay
Live: #NOBEL The Nobel Peace Prize awarded to South African Navanethem "Navi" Pillay, "for her efforts to promote peace and international law".
Trump currently [in reply to: awarding former judge Navanethim Pillay the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.]
Navi Pillay received the Nobel Peace Prize
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize awarded to Navanethem "Navi" Pillay
The Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay.
YESNews92%match100¢-28%
This year's Nobel Peace Prize has been awarded to South African lawyer Pillay.
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize awarded to lawyer Navanethem Pillay
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been awarded to Navanethem "Navi" Pillay of South Africa. Navi Pillay is a world-renowned South African judge and human rights activist who served as the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights from 2008 to 2014. She received the Peace Prize for her efforts to promote peace and international law, the Norwegian Nobel Institute said in a statement. Whether Donald Trump was among this year's winners is unknown, as the Nobel Committee does not disclose the list of nominees. Previously, the current US president has repeatedly stated that he deserves the Peace Prize "like no one else in the world." On the eve of the announcement of the prize winner, Trump announced that he had "prevented the total destruction of the world," referring to the destruction of Iran's nuclear program, as well as allegedly stopped eight military wars. At the same time, he was never able to end Russia's war against Ukraine. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google [in reply to: The 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature was awarded to Canadian poet Anne Carson She was awarded "for her bold and innovative work, which in a playful dialogue with the classical tradition has created new forms for modern literature." Throughout her career, Anne Carson combined writing poetry with translation activities and teaching at various universities. Almost all of her literary work is focused on the intersection of a philologist's obsession with words and a poet's desire to find new meanings. She herself defined the etymology of words as the starting point of all her work, — says the statement of the Swedish Academy, which determines the winner of the Nobel Prize in Literature. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google]
YESNews97%match99¢-27%
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize will be awarded to former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay - Committee
Live: The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to Navanethem “Navi” Pillay, a South African human rights lawyer who fought against the apartheid regime.
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is awarded to South African lawyer Navanethem “Navi” Pillay
The Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to South African judge of Indian origin, Navi Pillay.
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize awarded to South African Navanethem “Navi” Pillay
Former judge Navanethem Pillay was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for 2026.
Navanethem "Navi" Pillay has been awarded the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. She was awarded the award "for her efforts to promote peace and strengthen international law." The Nobel Committee announced this decision. The Norwegian Nobel Institute has registered a total of 287 candidates for this year's Peace Prize, of which 208 are individuals and 79 are organizations The prize ceremony will be held in Oslo on December 10, the anniversary of Nobel's death. The monetary component of the Nobel Prize in each nomination this year will be 12 million kroner ($1.2 million). Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
The Nobel Peace Prize is awarded to Navanethem Pillay
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize awarded to Navanethem Pillay
Where does the news lean?
27YES2NO12neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 70% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The Nobel Peace Prize is awarded annually by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is scheduled to be announced on October 9, 2026, at 11:00 AM CEST (5:00 AM ET).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one named individual is a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A named individual is a person identified by name as a laureate in the Norwegian Nobel Committee's announcement. An organization, institution, movement, agency, coalition, or other entity is not a named individual.
The prize may be divided among up to three laureates. If it is divided between at least one named individual and one or more entities, this market will resolve to "Yes". A person named as a laureate alongside an organization they lead counts as a named individual, as Kofi Annan did when the 2001 prize was divided between the United Nations and its Secretary-General. A person who is not named as a laureate, and who only accepts or represents the prize on an organization's behalf, does not count.
A laureate who declines the prize still counts, as Le Duc Tho did in 1973. A laureate honored posthumously still counts, as Dag Hammarskjold did in 1961.
If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is withheld, is not awarded, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.