Nicolás Maduro released from custodyDecember 31
Open$294Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES7¢
NO93¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
US prosecutors have set June 2027 as the tentative date for the start of Maduro's trial in New York on drug trafficking charges.
Maduro's trial postponed until next year Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife. @iribnews
Maduro's trial date set Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife.
tasnimnews.ir/3654450
@TasnimNews [in reply to: Maduro's illegal trial begins in US court Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro appeared in a US court under heavy security to answer trumped-up drug trafficking charges in what many observers consider an "illegal show trial."
@TasnimNews]
US court sets June 2027 as trial date for Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife
Maduro's trial has a date Judge Hellerstein scheduled the trial against President Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores for June 2027 in New York, while protesters demanded their release outside the courthouse. Will the defense succeed in getting the case dismissed?
Venezuela's ousted president Nicolas Maduro and his wife will go on trial in the United States in June 2027, a court ruled Wednesday, after the US military captured them in a stunning nighttime raid in January. •
Maduro's Fate to Be Decided by Mid-Next Year, Court: “Starts June 1, 2027”
Maduro to remain behind bars for one more year while awaiting trial
From kidnapping to show trials in the US; Maduro's trial postponed until next year The case of former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro has entered a new phase after Washington's attack to kidnap and transfer him to US soil; a New York federal judge announced on Wednesday that the former Venezuelan president, and his wife, Cilia Flores, will be tried on June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406). @IRNA_1313
A US court sets June 1, 2027 as the date for the start of Maduro's trial.
United States: Nicolas Maduro's trial set for June 1, 2027
NOReuters93%match92¢+1%
U.S. Judge Sets June 1, 2027 Trial Start Date for Ousted Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro
Federal prosecutors and lawyers for Nicolas Maduro are seeking a June 2027 trial for the ousted leader and his wife on narco-terrorism charges, according to a Justice Department filing Tuesday —CNN.
Maduro to be tried in June 2027 The US Department of Justice has proposed that the trial of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro begin in June 2027. isna.ir/xdWLS2
@isna94
Former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and the Department of Justice are jointly proposing a trial date of June 2027 in federal court in New York. • • We expect Judge Hellerstein to determine a trial date at a hearing tomorrow.
JUST IN: Prosecutors and Nicolas Maduro’s lawyers seek a June 2027 trial date
NOAxios98%match74¢+26%
What the U.S. used to capture Maduro
YESCGTN America99%match19¢-63%
“Court case” for Maduro begins.
NOPolymarket99%match86¢+8%
BREAKING: Maduro projected to be sentenced to 60+ years in prison, but there's still a 14% chance he gets away with no prison time.
NOBreaking91199%match86¢+8%
The libs are demanding Maduro be freed
Where does the news lean?
2YES20NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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