Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) releasedSeptember 30

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$34KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESOpenAI Researcher94%match100¢
GPT-6 Sol and Luna are out, and they are better AND 50% cheaper than 5.6. Luna is now $0.10 input / $0.50 output per 1M tokens. • • This is on top of the 80% price cut to Luna we made at the end of July. Output went from $6 -> $0.50 within two months.
YESopenai91%match99¢+1%
GPT-6 Sol and Luna roll out today in ChatGPT Work and Codex for Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and Edu users. • • Both are also available in the API. Free and Go users can try GPT-6 Luna in the desktop app. • •
YESopenai93%match99¢+1%
Please welcome GPT-6 Sol and GPT-6 Luna to the GPT-6 universe. • • GPT-6 Sol and Luna build on the advances behind GPT-6 Astra, bringing much of its strengths into faster and more affordable models to support work at scale. • • We’ve also made caching and inference more efficient, and we’re passing the savings directly to you: 50% lower API prices for Sol and Luna compared with GPT‑5.6 promotional pricing.
YESfaststocknewss97%match99¢+1%
OPENAI INTRODUCES GPT-6 SOL AND GPT-6 LUNA, CUTS API PRICES 50% • • Both models are available from today in ChatGPT Work and Codex for all Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise users, per the company. API prices are 50% lower than the GPT-5.6 promotional pricing. • • Free and Go users can access GPT-6 Luna in the desktop app. Neither model is available in chat yet.
YEStechcrunch.com91%match99¢+1%
OpenAI launches GPT-6 Sol and Luna, boasting lower cost and fewer mistakes
NOReuters95%match1¢-100%
OpenAI: Gpt-6 SOL & Gpt-6 Luna Models Not Yet Available in Chat
YESReuters92%match99¢+1%
OpenAI: Free and Go Users Can Access Gpt-6 Luna in Desktop App
YESReuters93%match99¢+1%
OpenAI: Gpt-6 SOL & Gpt-6 Luna Available in ChatGPT Work & Codex From Today for All Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise Users
YESReuters94%match99¢+1%
OpenAI: Introducing Gpt-6 SOL & Gpt-6 Luna
YESsemianalysis_95%match90¢+11%
GPT 6 Astra came out publicly on September 3rd btw

Where does the news lean?

9YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Luna model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Luna, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Terra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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