Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released

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This hub tracks 8 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

October 31decrypt.co93%match100¢
OpenAI Launches GPT-6 Sol and Luna Minutes After Anthropic Drops Claude Opus 5.5
November 30decrypt.co93%match100¢
OpenAI Launches GPT-6 Sol and Luna Minutes After Anthropic Drops Claude Opus 5.5
GPT-6 Sol and Luna are now available in Devin. • • On FrontierCode 1.1, GPT-6 Sol matches GPT-5.6 Sol’s score at 61% lower cost per task. GPT-6 Luna scores above GPT-5.6 Luna at about a quarter of the cost. At under $0.10 per task, it is the cheapest model on the leaderboard.
GPT-6 Sol and Luna are now available in Devin. • • On FrontierCode 1.1, GPT-6 Sol matches GPT-5.6 Sol’s score at 61% lower cost per task. GPT-6 Luna scores above GPT-5.6 Luna at about a quarter of the cost. At under $0.10 per task, it is the cheapest model on the leaderboard.
GPT-6 Sol and Luna are out, and they are better AND 50% cheaper than 5.6. Luna is now $0.10 input / $0.50 output per 1M tokens. • • This is on top of the 80% price cut to Luna we made at the end of July. Output went from $6 -> $0.50 within two months.
October 31openai92%match100¢
GPT-6 Sol and Luna roll out today in ChatGPT Work and Codex for Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and Edu users. • • Both are also available in the API. Free and Go users can try GPT-6 Luna in the desktop app. • •
September 30openai91%match99¢+1%
GPT-6 Sol and Luna roll out today in ChatGPT Work and Codex for Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and Edu users. • • Both are also available in the API. Free and Go users can try GPT-6 Luna in the desktop app. • •
November 30openai91%match99¢+1%
GPT-6 Sol and Luna roll out today in ChatGPT Work and Codex for Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and Edu users. • • Both are also available in the API. Free and Go users can try GPT-6 Luna in the desktop app. • •
October 31openai93%match100¢
Please welcome GPT-6 Sol and GPT-6 Luna to the GPT-6 universe. • • GPT-6 Sol and Luna build on the advances behind GPT-6 Astra, bringing much of its strengths into faster and more affordable models to support work at scale. • • We’ve also made caching and inference more efficient, and we’re passing the savings directly to you: 50% lower API prices for Sol and Luna compared with GPT‑5.6 promotional pricing.
September 30openai93%match99¢+1%
Please welcome GPT-6 Sol and GPT-6 Luna to the GPT-6 universe. • • GPT-6 Sol and Luna build on the advances behind GPT-6 Astra, bringing much of its strengths into faster and more affordable models to support work at scale. • • We’ve also made caching and inference more efficient, and we’re passing the savings directly to you: 50% lower API prices for Sol and Luna compared with GPT‑5.6 promotional pricing.
November 30openai93%match99¢+1%
Please welcome GPT-6 Sol and GPT-6 Luna to the GPT-6 universe. • • GPT-6 Sol and Luna build on the advances behind GPT-6 Astra, bringing much of its strengths into faster and more affordable models to support work at scale. • • We’ve also made caching and inference more efficient, and we’re passing the savings directly to you: 50% lower API prices for Sol and Luna compared with GPT‑5.6 promotional pricing.
October 31faststocknewss97%match100¢
OPENAI INTRODUCES GPT-6 SOL AND GPT-6 LUNA, CUTS API PRICES 50% • • Both models are available from today in ChatGPT Work and Codex for all Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise users, per the company. API prices are 50% lower than the GPT-5.6 promotional pricing. • • Free and Go users can access GPT-6 Luna in the desktop app. Neither model is available in chat yet.
September 30faststocknewss97%match99¢+1%
OPENAI INTRODUCES GPT-6 SOL AND GPT-6 LUNA, CUTS API PRICES 50% • • Both models are available from today in ChatGPT Work and Codex for all Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise users, per the company. API prices are 50% lower than the GPT-5.6 promotional pricing. • • Free and Go users can access GPT-6 Luna in the desktop app. Neither model is available in chat yet.
November 30faststocknewss97%match99¢+1%
OPENAI INTRODUCES GPT-6 SOL AND GPT-6 LUNA, CUTS API PRICES 50% • • Both models are available from today in ChatGPT Work and Codex for all Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise users, per the company. API prices are 50% lower than the GPT-5.6 promotional pricing. • • Free and Go users can access GPT-6 Luna in the desktop app. Neither model is available in chat yet.
September 27faststocknewss95%match99¢+1%
OPENAI INTRODUCES GPT-6 SOL AND GPT-6 LUNA, CUTS API PRICES 50% • • Both models are available from today in ChatGPT Work and Codex for all Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise users, per the company. API prices are 50% lower than the GPT-5.6 promotional pricing. • • Free and Go users can access GPT-6 Luna in the desktop app. Neither model is available in chat yet.
October 31techcrunch.com92%match100¢
OpenAI launches GPT-6 Sol and Luna, boasting lower cost and fewer mistakes
September 30techcrunch.com91%match99¢+1%
OpenAI launches GPT-6 Sol and Luna, boasting lower cost and fewer mistakes
November 30techcrunch.com92%match99¢+1%
OpenAI launches GPT-6 Sol and Luna, boasting lower cost and fewer mistakes
October 31dbws.io93%match100¢
OpenAI expands GPT-6 lineup with cheaper Sol and Luna models
November 30dbws.io93%match99¢+1%
OpenAI expands GPT-6 lineup with cheaper Sol and Luna models
October 31Reuters95%match0¢
OpenAI: Gpt-6 SOL & Gpt-6 Luna Models Not Yet Available in Chat
September 30Reuters95%match1¢-100%
OpenAI: Gpt-6 SOL & Gpt-6 Luna Models Not Yet Available in Chat
October 31Reuters92%match100¢
OpenAI: Free and Go Users Can Access Gpt-6 Luna in Desktop App
September 30Reuters92%match99¢+1%
OpenAI: Free and Go Users Can Access Gpt-6 Luna in Desktop App
November 30Reuters91%match99¢+1%
OpenAI: Free and Go Users Can Access Gpt-6 Luna in Desktop App
October 31Reuters94%match100¢
OpenAI: Gpt-6 SOL & Gpt-6 Luna Available in ChatGPT Work & Codex From Today for All Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise Users
September 30Reuters93%match99¢+1%
OpenAI: Gpt-6 SOL & Gpt-6 Luna Available in ChatGPT Work & Codex From Today for All Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise Users
November 30Reuters93%match99¢+1%
OpenAI: Gpt-6 SOL & Gpt-6 Luna Available in ChatGPT Work & Codex From Today for All Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise Users
October 31Reuters94%match100¢
OpenAI: Introducing Gpt-6 SOL & Gpt-6 Luna
September 30Reuters94%match99¢+1%
OpenAI: Introducing Gpt-6 SOL & Gpt-6 Luna

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Luna model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Luna, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Terra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.