Netanyahu drops out of Israel electionSeptember 30
ResolvedOutcome: No$174Kas of
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As regional tensions escalate, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned of a possible attack by "enemies" on the country ahead of Israel's parliamentary elections. "From the air force base, relying on the long arm of Israel, I send you this message: Do not fall short of us; not now, not ever. Our long arm will reach you anywhere, anytime," he said in a video message in Hebrew. Netanyahu stressed that Israel is conducting operations "nonstop on all fronts" and that its forces have killed more than 100 "terrorists" in the Gaza Strip in recent weeks. Israel's parliamentary elections are scheduled for November 25.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Tuesday that there are signs that the country’s enemies will try to attack Israel as elections approach. He warned these countries and groups: “Do not engage us; not now, not ever. Our long arm will reach you anywhere, anytime.” Netanyahu made the remarks in a video message from the Tel Nof Air Force Base in front of a fighter jet. He said Israel was operating “nonstop on all fronts,” referring to recent military operations in Gaza and Lebanon. The Israeli prime minister also said that more than 100 people he called “terrorists” had been killed in Gaza alone in recent weeks. He also referred to Israel's operations in Lebanon. Netanyahu said Israel was facing "heavy pressure" to retreat and abandon its military gains, adding that he would not allow such a thing. Israel's parliamentary elections are scheduled for November 25.
Israel: Netanyahu attacks five opposition parties after they agree to unite their efforts in next month's Knesset elections to oust him, claiming they will form a government with the support of Arab parties. This was Netanyahu's first comment on the agreement between the leaders of the five parties, including Yesh Atid party leader Gadi Eisenkot and opposition leader Yair Lapid.
The Israeli newspaper Haaretz: — Netanyahu will make a "lightning visit" to New York to deliver a speech at the United Nations aimed at appealing to his voters, before returning without meeting President Trump. — The speech will focus heavily on the war involving Iran and close cooperation with the American president. — Netanyahu is expected to emphasize the message that "Israel has changed the Middle East," in an attempt to divert attention from the failures of October 7, 2023.
Netanyahu recently said in closed-door talks with his associates that even if he fails to form the next government, he has no intention of resigning. "I will serve as the chairman of the opposition and we will win the next elections," he said.
The message is also directed internally to the Likud: Don't start the succession battle. According to sources in the party, even in the event of a loss, it will be very difficult to formulate an internal move against Netanyahu.
On the other hand, Herzog is already signaling that in the case of Plunter, he intends to be an active player: "I will do everything so that there are no repeat elections." Those around him emphasize that the law leaves the president broad discretion in managing the process of forming a government.
Netanyahu launches his election campaign from Mount Hermon, brandishing threats of force against Iran, Gaza, and Lebanon. His camp remains short of a 61-seat majority, according to polls, due to the October 7th attack.
50 days to Israel’s general election. • • A new video from Netanyahu’s campaign mocks his main rival, Gadi Eisenkot, over his English language skills. Some in his camp attempted to portray it as racist, but that characterization is difficult to sustain. • • Separately, recent polls from last night suggest the two political blocs could emerge with exactly the same number of seats, raising the prospect of another political deadlock.
Netanyahu pushes to unite far-right vote before Israel election
Netanyahu: If I don't win, it will be the beginning of the end of Israel The Israeli Prime Minister has warned that if he does not win the upcoming elections in occupied Palestine, it will be the beginning of the end of Israel. If my rivals win, they will withdraw from Lebanon, they will withdraw from Gaza, they will withdraw from Syria and they will establish a Palestinian state here. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Netanyahu: If I Don't Win, It Will Be the Beginning of the End of Israel The Prime Minister of the Zionist regime has warned that if he does not win the upcoming elections in occupied Palestine, it will be the beginning of the end of Israel. If my rivals win, they will withdraw from Lebanon, they will withdraw from Gaza, they will withdraw from Syria and they will establish a Palestinian state here. @isna94
Netanyahu's Dilemma: Small New Parties Splintering the Right-Wing Vote? The emergence of small right-wing parties complicates the Israeli Prime Minister's efforts to remain in power amidst a struggle with the Jewish opposition. Right-wing politician Ofer Winter launched a political party called "The People of Israel," raising concerns that Smotrich's party might fail to enter the Knesset. Former Israeli Ambassador to Washington Gilad Erdan intends to establish a party to contest the October 27 elections. Netanyahu: Anyone who doesn't pass the electoral threshold is wasting votes. We will bring disaster upon ourselves. Either withdraw or unite with the existing parties.
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu passes the "strength test" in the Knesset primaries. The results maintain his influence within Likud while sidelining his rivals, and Ben-Gvir announces his support for some candidates despite being outside the party.
Live: #ISRAEL Benjamin Netanyahu welcomed the election of several of his close associates, the day after an internal Likud vote to select his right-wing party's candidates for the parliamentary elections on the 27th...
Likud primaries: Fierce competition and criticism of Netanyahu's choices (News Report) — The Likud party, led by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, is holding its primaries on Monday, witnessing fierce competition to select its candidates for the Knesset elections scheduled for October 27. — These party elections are also witnessing internal criticism of some of the figures chosen by Netanyahu, within his authority to appoint candidates to fill 10 seats.
Amit Segal
Exactly three months until the elections: Likud will vote today on Netanyahu's method for the primaries - which will be held in twenty days
Exactly three months until the elections: The Likud will vote today on Netanyahu's method for primaries in twenty days.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu pledged to form a "broad and stable" government if his bloc wins again in the upcoming elections. He claimed that Israel "successfully overcame a civil war," while acknowledging that it "faces many challenges."
Israel: Netanyahu shifts to the right ahead of the October parliamentary elections
Israeli General Election on October 27: Netanyahu's Re-election as Prime Minister is the Focus
The Knesset committee set the date for the election recess: July 17 - a little more than 100 days before the original election date, October 27. Behind the formal date lies the intention that Netanyahu formulated months ago: to serve out the term until its last day and reach the elections on time. All the talk about an advance to September, including the calculations of the haredi parties, was not part of his plan.
Where does the news lean?
0YES32NO15neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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