Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of CubaDecember 31
Open$618Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 17% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES17¢
NO84¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
57% chance Miguel Díaz-Canel removed from office this year. • •
Where does the news lean?
7YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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See all outcomes for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.