Internet Access restored in IranDecember 31
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$99Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Second Secretary of the Industries and Mines Commission of the Islamic Consultative Assembly: Peru's Internet has become a piggy bank for operators Mr. Aref has now received a restraining order to come and lead the cyberspace, so it must be said that this is mostly a psychological matter and nothing special is going to happen. The very good resolution of the Supreme National Security Council, which was called the resolution to open the internet to online businesses, turned into a piggy bank for Amhar Awal, Irancell, and Rightel in implementation. Worse than an internet outage is a parliament shutdown. That is, an internet outage has a number of disadvantages, but a parliament shutdown has much, much more disadvantages. The parliament is currently the most ignorant branch of government in decision-making, and we do not even have access to the head of the branch, the person we elected, to give a report to the parliament about the negotiations and the internet space. The parliament is in a very, very inappropriate situation. When the parliament is not in its place, naturally, people who were opposed to the international internet until yesterday have now, as the saying goes, reached their own utopia, and the disconnection of the international internet is a dream come true for them. On one or two occasions when the parliamentary webinar session was held, it was not possible for representatives to speak during the session, and there were frequent disconnections and severe audio disturbances. @YjcNewsChannel
Iran’s internet blackout entered its 76th day after passing 1,800 hours on Thursday, internet monitor NetBlocks said. • • “The measure is built on a class-based tiered system where the select few are granted access while the general public are silenced, the very kind of social structure Iranian authorities claim to oppose,” it added in a post on X.
After months of blackout, Iran gives internet to select few. • • Millions have been unable to access the internet since the United States and Israel attacked Iran on February 28, punishing the pockets of online entrepreneurs and workers • •
The internet blackout in #Iran has entered its 76th day after 1800 hours. The measure is built on a class-based tiered system where the select few are granted access while the general public are silenced, the very kind of social structure Iranian authorities claim to oppose.
Where does the news lean?
10YES7NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.
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