Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? the favorite at 26%, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

YESdj99%match50¢-48%
*Democratic Lawmakers Seek Information on Cantor Fitzgerald's USA Rare Earth Deal's Possible Ties to Commerce Secretary Lutnick -- WSJ
YESafp98%match48¢-46%
Democratic lawmakers accuse US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick of lying to Congress and helping cover up the crimes of Jeffrey Epstein. • • The lawmakers demanded his resignation after a closed-door deposition in the investigation into the notorious sex offender • •
YESwelt.de98%match47¢-45%
Serious allegations against US Commerce Secretary Lutnick in the Epstein case
YESCNN Reporter99%match47¢-45%
Democrats emerged from the Oversight Committee's closed-door interview with Howard Lutnick saying the commerce secretary was not forthcoming, a "pathological liar" and needs to resign • • Comer meanwhile said Lutnick was "very transparent" • •
YESibtimes.com98%match47¢-45%
Democrats Say Trump 'Would Fire' Howard Lutnick If He Saw His 'Evasive' Testimony Over Epstein Ties. • Democrats on the House Oversight Committee accused Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick of giving an "embarrassing" and "evasive" closed-door interview about his past contacts with Jeffrey Epstein.
NOPolitico Reporter99%match54¢+37%
Sec. Lutnick is set to do an interview today with Oversight as part of the Epstein investigation • • dept spox say he looked forward to “putting to rest the inaccurate and baseless claims in the media designed to distract from his historic work underway at the Commerce Department.”
YEStheguardian.com99%match46¢-43%
Commerce chief Howard Lutnick to face Epstein grilling in closed-door interview today
YESFox Reporter99%match46¢-43%
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick to appear for closed door transcribed interview before House Oversight Committee today about his relationship with Epstein
YESMeidasTouch Reporter99%match47¢-45%
House Oversight Cmte has a transcribed interview about Epstein files and matters tomorrow with ….. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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