Houthis successfully target shippingSeptember 15
Resolved$6Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
23:43/ September 2
Operational Assessment: Yemen has increased its attacks on Saudi vessels and is expanding its attacks on Emirati vessels. Yemen has managed to reduce exports from the Abqaiq-Yanbu pipeline by a third and, in addition to drone strikes, is targeting Saudi tankers with ballistic missiles. Yemen today destroyed the tanker ‘Mazan’ in Yanbu by firing missile shells.
Yemen's Houthis, affiliated with the Islamic Republic, announced that they targeted a Saudi oil tanker in the northern Red Sea, off the coast of Yanbu, with a ballistic missile, which caused the vessel to catch fire. The Houthis announced that in two other operations, they targeted the gathering of Saudi military forces and equipment in the Al-Abr and Al-Kinais areas with ballistic missiles and drones. This group affiliated with the Islamic Republic, emphasizing the continuation of the maritime ban against Saudi Arabia within the declared operational area, announced that they are ready to confront any escalation of tensions.
Yemen's Houthis announced that they targeted a ship near the Saudi Arabian port of Yanbu.
Where does the news lean?
3YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Houthis successfully target shipping — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.