Houthis successfully target shippingAugust 31

ResolvedVol$26KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESMaritime analytics94%match94¢+6%
On July 28, Windward flagged AMZAN (IMO 9693745) as one of 21 Saudi-flagged tankers at risk of being targeted by the Houthis. • • On August 8, the Bahri-owned VLCC went dark, switching off its AIS for safety and security reasons. It resurfaced August 24 at 07:21 UTC, 63 nm off the Red Sea port of Yanbu, at the position where UKMTO reported a tanker had been struck by an unknown projectile. • • Bahri has confirmed AMZAN was the vessel hit but has not assigned responsibility. The Houthis claim a missile-and-drone attack. • • Get more live intelligence updates on our daily dashboard:
YESdolfiniran92%match92¢+9%
23:43/ September 2 Operational Assessment: Yemen has increased its attacks on Saudi vessels and is expanding its attacks on Emirati vessels. Yemen has managed to reduce exports from the Abqaiq-Yanbu pipeline by a third and, in addition to drone strikes, is targeting Saudi tankers with ballistic missiles. Yemen today destroyed the tanker ‘Mazan’ in Yanbu by firing missile shells.
YESSemi-Official YJC News Agency93%match89¢+12%
Saudi Arabia's official confession; The oil tanker "Amzan" was targeted in the Red Sea The Saudi Arabian National Shipping Company (Al-Bahri) issued an official statement confirming that the oil tanker "Amzan" was targeted in the Red Sea. The Al-Bahri Company announced that the oil tanker "Amzan" belonging to the company's fleet suffered a security incident on August 24, 2026 (2 Shahrivar 1405) in the Red Sea. @YjcNewsChannel [in reply to: Saudi aggressor oil tanker set on fire The spokesman for the Yemeni Armed Forces: The oil tanker belonging to the Saudi enemy named "Amzan" was targeted with a ballistic missile off the coast of "Yanbu". The missile hit was precise and direct, which led to a massive fire on the vessel. @YjcNewsChannel]
YESiranintl93%match87¢+15%
Yemen's Houthis, affiliated with the Islamic Republic, announced that they targeted a Saudi oil tanker in the northern Red Sea, off the coast of Yanbu, with a ballistic missile, which caused the vessel to catch fire. The Houthis announced that in two other operations, they targeted the gathering of Saudi military forces and equipment in the Al-Abr and Al-Kinais areas with ballistic missiles and drones. This group affiliated with the Islamic Republic, emphasizing the continuation of the maritime ban against Saudi Arabia within the declared operational area, announced that they are ready to confront any escalation of tensions.
YESHouthi Spokesperson92%match85¢+18%
By the grace and guidance of Allah, the Yemeni Armed Forces successfully targeted the Saudi enemy's oil tanker "Amzan" in the northern Red Sea, off the coast of Yanbu, using a ballistic missile, the strike was precise and direct, resulting in a fire broke out on the ship and the escape of several other vessels were in the targeted area. This targeting comes within the framework of implementing the Armed Forces' decision to impose a maritime ban on the Saudi enemy and to reinforce the equation of "a siege for a siege". In another development, the Yemeni Armed Forces, by the grace of Allah, successfully carried out two military operations of which the first targeted a Saudi military convoy, consisting of a large convoy loaded with military equipment, in the Al-Abr and Al-Wadi'ah areas using ballistic missiles and drones, resulting in the burning and destruction of more than ten trucks loaded with weapons that were coming from Saudi territory to target the Yemeni people. The second operation targeted Saudi enemy forces in the Al-Kanais area with ballistic missiles and drones, which resulted in the death and injury of dozens, including commanders and officers, and the burning and destruction of several weapons depots. The armed forces, with Allah's help, continue to impose a maritime blockade on the Saudi enemy within the declared ​​operation zone, implementing the equation of "a siege for a siege" and a comprehensive escalation with a comprehensive escalation. We are prepared, by Allah's power, to confront any escalation with stronger and more intense strikes and broader and larger operations. The Yemeni Armed Forces, while congratulating our great Yemeni people and our Arab and Islamic nation on the occasion of the Prophet's birthday (peace and blessings be upon him and his family), call upon the people of our dear, valiant country, the people of faith and wisdom, the people of Yemen, to participate honorably in commemorating this great occasion in all designated areas tomorrow, Allah's willing. Sana'a, Rabi' al-Awwal 11, 1448 AH August 24, 2026 AD Issued by the Yemeni Armed Forces
YESiranintlbrk92%match85¢+18%
Yemen's Houthis announced that they targeted a ship near the Saudi Arabian port of Yanbu.
YESHouthi military media93%match85¢+18%
Statement from the Yemeni Armed Forces regarding the targeting of the Saudi oil tanker "Amzan" off the coast of Yanbu, and the targeting of Saudi reinforcements consisting of a large military convoy in the Al-Abr and Al-Wadi'ah regions, and reinforcements in the Al-Kanais area - August 24, 2026
YESiranintlbrk91%match85¢+18%
Yemen's Houthis announced that they targeted a ship near the Saudi port of Yanbu.

Where does the news lean?

8YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.

Related markets

See all outcomes for Houthis successfully target shipping — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Other outcomes in this event

Trending now