Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of GermanyNovember 30, 2026
Open$14Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.