Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Open$12Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 8% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES8¢
NO93¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: Congress must review the nuclear pact. Under the Atomic Energy Act, lawmakers have the power to vote on a resolution of disapproval. But practically speaking, the agreement is likely to pass to the review; Congress would have to assemble a veto-proof majority to override it.
Iran condemns US strikes as violation of interim deal
Iran condemns US strikes as violation of interim deal
Iran nuclear deal hinges on IAEA access to long-blocked atomic weapon sites, experts say
Grossi: The interim agreement between Washington and Tehran allows IAEA inspectors to enter Iran to verify its nuclear program... and the fate of the highly enriched uranium stockpile is unclear.
Grossi: The interim agreement between Washington and Tehran allows IAEA inspectors to enter Iran to verify its nuclear program... and the fate of the highly enriched uranium stockpile is unclear.
Republican lawmakers in the US House of Representatives raised concerns Wednesday about the Trump administration's memorandum of understanding with Iran, particularly regarding sanctions relief, asset release, nuclear inspections and the potential costs of implementing the deal, CBS reported. However, many of them still support the president's military action against the Islamic Republic, according to the report.
Republican lawmakers in the U.S. House of Representatives raised concerns Wednesday about the Trump administration's memorandum of understanding with Iran, particularly on sanctions relief, asset releases, nuclear inspections and the potential costs of implementing the deal. However, many of them still support the president's military action against the Islamic Republic.
Where does the news lean?
0YES15NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.