Anthropic lab leakJune 30, 2027
Open$7Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 11% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES11¢
NO90¢
as of
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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See all outcomes for Anthropic lab leak — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.