IPOs before 2027?Anthropic
Open$650Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 69% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES69¢
NO31¢
as of
What moved the odds?
39 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Anthropic's IPO prospectus warns of government policy risks, potentially impacting its global operations.
YESReuters96%match82¢-16%
Exclusive - Anthropic Warns That Government Attitudes Toward the Company, Its Technology Could Have Implications for Its Business - IPO Prospectus Seen by Reuters
Anthropic's IPO prospectus details steep losses, existential risks
What’s in Anthropic’s I.P.O. Filing
Anthropic warns of ‘catastrophic’ AI risks in its own IPO filing
Anthropic’s IPO prospectus shows sweeping AI vision and surging costs
"Catastrophic or existential risks for humanity": in its IPO prospectus, Anthropic issues this extraordinary warning to its future shareholders.
"Catastrophic or existential risks for humanity": in its IPO prospectus, Anthropic issues this extraordinary warning to its future shareholders.
Anthropic's IPO filing reveals AI security risks; founder plans to take key voting rights.
Anthropic IPO Prospectus Warns Its AI Could Pose ‘Existential Risks To Humanity’. • Nearly 80 pages of the company’s 261-page initial public offering prospectus is dedicated to potential risk factors, while only 48 pages outline its business.
Anthropic IPO prospectus shows key executives and board
Anthropic warns AI may pose 'existential risks to humanity' in IPO filing: Reuters
Anthropic's IPO prospectus shows sweeping AI vision, surging costs: Reuters
Anthropic IPO prospectus leaked to Reuters • • Anthropic reported a net loss of $42 billion in 2025, and plans to spend $518 billion on cloud, computing and infrastructure obligations in coming year, according to the prospectus. • • The prospectus details how the company has grown sharply in the last year — while also posting wider losses. Revenue grew 12-fold in 2025 to nearly $4.6 billion, even as the company lost more than $8 billion on an operating basis, excluding writedowns of various liabilities mostly tied to previous fundraising, according to the documents, reported here for the first time. • •
Anthropic's IPO delayed to November 2026; estimated annualized revenue exceeds $100 billion.
Anthropic is now planning its IPO for November
Anthropic aims to surpass $100 billion in annual revenue and is scrambling for a November IPO; OpenAI still faces a significant five-year cash shortfall.
YESNews93%match84¢-18%
*ANTHROPIC PLANS TO STAGE ITS IPO WSJ
Anthropic's mammoth IPO uncertain after founder's surprise AI safety call
YESReuters95%match84¢-18%
Anthropic Has Chosen the Nasdaq for Its IPO Listing- Business Insider
Anthropic Delays IPO To Mid-October, Locks In $15 Billion Credit Line. • Anthropic's IPO slipped to mid-October, but the $15B revolver it locked down first says the offering was never about the money.
Reuters: Anthropic delays IPO, promotion to begin as early as mid-October
IPO: AI company Anthropic apparently postpones its stock market launch
Anthropic is close to awarding Morgan Stanley lead left in its IPO as it prepares to unveil its initial public offering paperwork as soon as next week. Goldman is expected to act as IPO stabilization agent: FT
The US IPO boom is heating up ahead of schedule; Oura and Anthropic are poised to make their debut.
Anthropic hopes to match or surpass SpaceX in IPO size, Bloomberg reported, citing sources familiar with the company's plans. SpaceX initially raised $75 billion in its IPO, setting a record for the size of an initial public offering. Taking into account the option to sell additional shares, the final amount reached $86.2 billion. Anthropic is preparing to publicly file documents for an IPO at the end of August. The final parameters of the offering, including its size, are still being discussed. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Reports Anthropic Said To Prepare IPO Filing As Soon As End-August • - Expects To Match SpaceX's Record IPO Size Or Top It • - Recent Investor Briefings Led By CFO Rao
Anthropic is on track to achieve annual revenue exceeding $65 billion based on its current performance, more than seven times its growth rate at the end of last year, according to Bloomberg. The company's annualized revenue, a metric based on a shorter period to estimate revenue over a full year, reached $65 billion by the end of July. This significant revenue acceleration strengthens Anthropic's plans for an initial public offering (IPO) expected as early as this fall. #Arabic_Business
RPT-EXCLUSIVE-Anthropic IPO valuation hinges on $190-200 billion 2028 revenue forecast, sources say
YESNews97%match80¢-14%
*ANTHROPIC PRELIMINARY 2Q 2026 REVENUE TOPS $11.5B AHEAD OF IPO
Anthropic CFO Krishna Rao is leading early IPO meetings with investors and has not discussed valuation, sources say
YESReuters92%match80¢-14%
Anthropic CFO Krishna Rao is Leading Early IPO Meetings with Investors and Has Not Discussed Valuation - CNBC
Anthropic CFO Krishna Rao is leading early IPO meetings with investors and has not discussed valuation, sources say
Looks like we are now roughly 2 months away from the Anthropic IPO • • There is now a 74% chance that Anthropic goes public via an IPO before the end of October
Anthropic Tries to Shore Up Investor Confidence Ahead of Blockbuster IPO -- WSJ
Anthropic could be going public as early as next month
YESReuters97%match74¢-7%
Anthropic is Meeting with Potential Investors to Shore Up Confidence Ahead of IPO That Could Launch in September or Early October - WSJ
Exclusive: Anthropic Tries to Shore Up Investor Confidence Ahead of Blockbuster IPO -- WSJ
YESdj92%match74¢-7%
*Anthropic Executives Meet With Investors to Shore Up Confidence Pre-IPO, Sources Say -- WSJ
Where does the news lean?
205YES11NO52neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Related markets
See all outcomes for IPOs before 2027? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.