IPOs before 2027?
Open35as of
Market pricing makes Anthropic the favorite at 74% across 35 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Cerebras100%
SpaceX100%
Wealthfront100%
Once Upon a Farm100%
SHEIN100%
Anthropic74%
Discord7%
Celonis4%
Rippling4%
Revolut4%
OpenAI3%
Remote3%
Stripe2%
Ramp2%
Anduril2%
Waymo2%
Vanta1%
Brex1%
Glean1%
Deel0%
xAI0%
All further outcomes (5 more):
Anduril Industries · Canva · Epic Games · Ledger · WHOOP
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
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With personnel and security controversies raging, OpenAI faces a difficult road to its IPO.
Other IPOs are on ice as investors await Anthropic’s mega public debut
Anthropic's IPO prospectus warns of government policy risks, potentially impacting its global operations.
Exclusive - Anthropic Warns That Government Attitudes Toward the Company, Its Technology Could Have Implications for Its Business - IPO Prospectus Seen by Reuters
The Scary Part About Anthropic’s IPO Doc That Gets Little Attention. • Supposedly their products could end the world as we know it. So could OpenAI’s and whoever else’s. Pearl-clutching pronouncements miss a huge problem: management.
Altman says OpenAI will delay its IPO until it overcomes safety concerns
[UPDATE] Altman says OpenAI will delay its IPO until it overcomes safety concerns (first reported at 2026-09-29T17:15:00Z)
Anthropic's IPO prospectus details steep losses, existential risks
What’s in Anthropic’s I.P.O. Filing
Anthropic warns of ‘catastrophic’ AI risks in its own IPO filing
Anthropic’s IPO prospectus shows sweeping AI vision and surging costs
"Catastrophic or existential risks for humanity": in its IPO prospectus, Anthropic issues this extraordinary warning to its future shareholders.
"Catastrophic or existential risks for humanity": in its IPO prospectus, Anthropic issues this extraordinary warning to its future shareholders.
Anthropic's IPO filing reveals AI security risks; founder plans to take key voting rights.
Anthropic IPO Prospectus Warns Its AI Could Pose ‘Existential Risks To Humanity’. • Nearly 80 pages of the company’s 261-page initial public offering prospectus is dedicated to potential risk factors, while only 48 pages outline its business.
Anthropic IPO prospectus shows key executives and board
Anthropic warns AI may pose 'existential risks to humanity' in IPO filing: Reuters
Anthropic's IPO prospectus shows sweeping AI vision, surging costs: Reuters
Anthropic IPO prospectus leaked to Reuters • • Anthropic reported a net loss of $42 billion in 2025, and plans to spend $518 billion on cloud, computing and infrastructure obligations in coming year, according to the prospectus. • • The prospectus details how the company has grown sharply in the last year — while also posting wider losses. Revenue grew 12-fold in 2025 to nearly $4.6 billion, even as the company lost more than $8 billion on an operating basis, excluding writedowns of various liabilities mostly tied to previous fundraising, according to the documents, reported here for the first time. • •
AI firms are rushing to discount their products as some enterprises express caution about paying full price for all the new tools: The Information • • Time to push the OpenAI IPO to 2028?
Anthropic IPO: Why Employees May Have To Decide How To Sell Before They Can. • Anthropic is reportedly weighing mandatory 10b5-1 plans, an IPO sales window, and a longer-than-usual lockup. What employees should plan for now.
Anthropic's IPO delayed to November 2026; estimated annualized revenue exceeds $100 billion.
There is now just a 6% chance that Anthropic is a public company by the end of next month
Anthropic is now planning its IPO for November
Anthropic aims to surpass $100 billion in annual revenue and is scrambling for a November IPO; OpenAI still faces a significant five-year cash shortfall.
Exclusive-Anthropic IPO Could Be Postponed Until After US Midterm Elections, Sources Say
*ANTHROPIC PLANS TO STAGE ITS IPO IN NOVEMBER: WSJ
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.