Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Open$70Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa announces new security appointments in Syria
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa issues a decree appointing members of the Supreme Constitutional Court, with Issam Khaled al-Khalif as its president.
Al-Sharaa praises Macron's decision to proceed with his visit to Syria despite the two bombings... What happened near the French president's residence in Damascus?
Footage from Al-Ikhbariya TV shows part of the visit of President Ahmed al-Sharaa and his French counterpart Emmanuel Macron to the Umayyad Mosque in Damascus yesterday, Monday. #Syrian_News
Al-Sharaa: Joint projects with France are reconnecting Syria to the world.
Trump: Al-Sharaa did a great job in Syria and I have a good relationship with him.
Al-Sharaa: Joint projects with France are reconnecting Syria to the world.
In the presence of al-Sharaa and Macron... Economic agreements signed between Syria and France
Al-Sharaa: We are establishing a partnership based on mutual interests with France #SkyOnline A%D9%82%D9%88%D9%85-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%B5%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AD-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%AA%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%AF%D9%84%D8%A9-%D9%81%D8%B1%D9%86%D8%B3%D8%A7
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa: Syrian geography has regained its vital role as a global link... and those who invested in Syria early profited early.
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa: Syria has regained its vital role in the region through its geographical location.
#Live | A speech by Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa
French President Emmanuel #Macron visits the Umayyad Mosque in Damascus accompanied by Syrian President Ahmed #al-Sharaa #SocialSky
Macron arrives in Syria, and al-Sharaa welcomes France's "constructive" role in his country.
Macron arrives in Syria, and al-Sharaa welcomes France's "constructive" role in his country.
Al-Sharaa told French media: We are trying to rebuild institutions in Syria.
In the presence of President Ahmed Al-Sharaa and a number of ministers, the Al-Fayhaa Sports Hall for basketball in Damascus was inaugurated after its rehabilitation. #SANA
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa speaks on @ChathamHouse
President al-Sharaa affirms Syria's support for Lebanon's stability during a tripartite dialogue with Macron and Aoun Details at the link: #SANA ـــــــــــــــــــ Follow us on WhatsApp | Facebook | X | YouTube | Instagram
NOLebanese Presidency98%match86¢+9%
A trilateral phone call took place this evening between Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa, and French President Emmanuel Macron. During the call, the three presidents discussed the current situation in Lebanon and the region in light of the rapidly evolving security situation. Presidents Aoun, al-Sharaa, and Macron assessed the escalating security tensions and agreed to maintain communication to monitor developments.
Where does the news lean?
1YES34NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.