Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Open$71Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
22 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NONews92%match96¢
(Syria's Al Ikhbariya) SANA: President Ahmed al-Sharaa and his wife, Mrs. Latifa al-Droubi, met at the Presidential Palace in Damascus on April 14 with Hala Shukri al-Quwatli, daughter of the late President Shukri al-Quwatli.
NONews96%match93¢+3%
(Syria's Al Ikhbariya) President Ahmed Al-Sharaa issues Decree No. 180 of 2026 granting additional opportunities to students who have exhausted their study time in universities, institutes, and postgraduate programs.
"Off-the-cuffs"... Al-Sharaa strolls past a mall A video circulating online shows Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa walking near a shopping center in Damascus before getting on and driving his own car. #Ahmed_al_Sharaa #Syria #AlJadeed #AlJadeed_News
NONews92%match93¢+3%
(Syria's Al Ikhbariya) Presidency of the Republic: President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with Pakistani Prime Minister Muhammad Shahbaz Sharif on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly.
Al-Sharaa: We reject Israel's constant attempts to impose a fait accompli and will continue building; the Golan will remain Syrian land. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa before the United Nations: We reject Israel's constant attempts to impose a fait accompli and will continue building. We call on Israel to withdraw from our lands; the Golan will remain Syrian land.
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa told the UN General Assembly that Syria had begun the path of reconstruction, had brought weapons under control, and had rebuilt military and civilian institutions. He said that Syria had faced 500 airstrikes, more than 1,200 infiltrations, and 300 arrests.
Emphasizing Damascus's adherence to the 1974 agreement, al-Sharaa called for the withdrawal of Israeli forces to the lines by December 8, 2024, and rejected Israel's attempts to "impose the status quo."
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa addresses the United Nations: Syria has begun its recovery journey, and the security of the Levant is being forged in Damascus.
====== Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa addresses the United Nations: Syria is rising and has begun its recovery journey, and the transitional justice process has begun. We have begun the recovery process and the disarmament process, and we have reunified the army. We have dismantled 90 international drug and human trafficking networks. We have turned the page on the state sponsor of terrorism, and the security of the Levant is being forged in Damascus.
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa said at the UN General Assembly, referring to the country's diplomatic progress in relations with other countries: "Syria is rising again. In the battle between good and evil, bloodshed and destruction have stopped and we have begun the path of reconstruction."
Syrian President Ahmed al-Shara'a at the UN General Assembly: "The Golan will remain Syrian land. Israel is trying to establish facts on our territory - we will not allow this." In his speech, al-Shara demanded an Israeli withdrawal to the 1974 lines - the lines of the Separation of Forces Agreement, which were in effect until the fall of the Assad regime, and said that Syria is committed to upholding this agreement.
Live: President Ahmad al-Sharaa of Syria, speaking first among the world leaders on Wednesday, opened his address by listing his government’s record in its first two years: U.S. sanctions lifted, diplomatic ties restored and stability maintained in Syria even as war engulfed much of the region.
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa: Syria has become home to approximately 60 diplomatic missions and has regained its presence on the regional and international stages.
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa before the United Nations General Assembly: Last year I said that Syria had returned, and today I say that it is rising again.
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa: I will be among the presidential candidates if serving Syria requires me to continue in my position... and the presidency has not been our goal for 20 years as much as serving the people and lifting injustice from them. #From_the_Event
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa: I will be among the presidential candidates if serving Syria requires me to continue in my position... and the presidency has not been our goal for 20 years as much as serving the people and lifting injustice from them.
Syria Now reports the arrival of President Ahmed al-Sharaa at the Atlantic Council headquarters in New York to participate in a dialogue session on the future of Syria. #Exclusive
President Ahmad al-Sharaa will participate as a keynote speaker at the 2026 Arab Media Summit in Dubai, in a dialogue entitled "The Future of Syria." #SANA
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His Excellency Mr. Ahmed Al-Sharaa, President of the Syrian Arab Republic, during the Arab Media Summit 2026: Syria has transformed from a center of problems and conflicts into a center of stability, a hub, and a destination for investment and trade. We are proud of DP World's investment in the port of Tartus due to its strategic importance. The stability of Syria is stability for the entire region and is in everyone's interest. #ArabMediaSummit
#Breaking | Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa arrives at the Dubai World Trade Centre to participate in the Arab Media Summit 2026 as a keynote speaker (Syrian News Agency)
His Excellency Mr. Ahmed Al-Sharaa, President of the Syrian Arab Republic, is the keynote speaker at the 24th Arab Media Summit 2026. #ArabMediaSummit
President Ahmed Al-Sharaa issued Decree No. /46/ of 2026, establishing the General Establishment for Drinking Water and Sanitation, to be an economic institution with legal personality and financial and administrative independence, linked to the Minister of Energy, and its headquarters will be in Damascus. #SANA
"Britain contributed to supporting Syria and lifting sanctions on the Syrian people," said President Ahmed al-Sharaa during a dialogue session at the Chatham House Institute in London. #SANA
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa speaks on @ChathamHouse
Where does the news lean?
1YES73NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 78% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.