When will Trump be impeached?December 31, 2026
Open$1.0Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The US House of Representatives is preparing to consider a resolution to impeach Trump before tomorrow, following the killing of citizens by federal immigration officers. A resolution to impeach US President Donald Trump was submitted to the House of Representatives by a Democratic representative. A special parliamentary procedure requires the House to consider the resolution within a short timeframe. The anticipated vote on the impeachment resolution will take place before Wednesday, according to Fox News. The resolution's sponsor's accusations are based on the killing of American citizens during immigration-related operations.
House Dems so far still ruling out any impeachment efforts against Trump re: Iran: • • Rep. Dean. “We are in the minority. So bringing forward impeachment right now — while he is guilty of a litany of high crimes and misdemeanors — I don't think it is a best use of our time. • • Let us get into the majority, let us get a Senate Majority and then hold this President to account.”
More Democrats are calling on Trump to be removed. • • Though a number are doing some semantic tumbling to avoid the "i" word -- impeachment -- even as they clearly suggest it. • • Here Sen. Kim acknowledges for impeachment to work, Republicans would have to join.
13-point plan by some Democrats in the US Congress to impeach Trump Some Democratic members of the US House of Representatives have introduced a 13-article impeachment bill against the country's president on charges of "high crimes and misdemeanors." The bill accuses Trump of starting wars, terrorism, war crimes, and violating international law. The Trump impeachment bill must be able to obtain two-thirds of the votes of Congress and the Senate, which is currently unlikely, according to experts. @iribnews
12% chance Trump is impeached this year. • •
Where does the news lean?
27YES4NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
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