Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

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Market pricing makes Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? the favorite at 3%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

29 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

YESrunews99%match13¢-77%
Trump will be IMPEACHED 'before this time next year or even before that time' • • • Chief White House Correspondent Simon Ateba predicts doom for US prez • • 'He will not recover. It will only get worse, and worse' • •
NODeseret Reporter99%match88¢+10%
House Dems so far still ruling out any impeachment efforts against Trump re: Iran: • • Rep. Dean. “We are in the minority. So bringing forward impeachment right now — while he is guilty of a litany of high crimes and misdemeanors — I don't think it is a best use of our time. • • Let us get into the majority, let us get a Senate Majority and then hold this President to account.”
NOPBS Reporter99%match88¢+10%
More Democrats are calling on Trump to be removed. • • Though a number are doing some semantic tumbling to avoid the "i" word -- impeachment -- even as they clearly suggest it. • • Here Sen. Kim acknowledges for impeachment to work, Republicans would have to join.
Newsweek: More than half of Americans want Congress to impeach Trump now, according to a new poll. One in seven Republicans supports it. @Defapress_ir
YESIran Semi-Official SNN99%match12¢-75%
Newsweek: More than half of Americans want Congress to impeach Trump now, according to a new poll. One in seven Republicans supports it. Get the latest news: Site | Ita | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
YEStasnimnews_fa99%match12¢-75%
US Congressional Democrats' 13-point plan to impeach Trump Democratic representatives in the US House of Representatives have introduced a bill to impeach the president of this country with 13 articles of impeachment on charges of "high crimes and misdemeanors" This plan accuses Trump of starting a war, terrorism, war crimes, and violating international law
NOIranian Media99%match88¢+10%
13-point plan by some Democrats in the US Congress to impeach Trump Some Democratic members of the US House of Representatives have introduced a 13-article impeachment bill against the country's president on charges of "high crimes and misdemeanors." The bill accuses Trump of starting wars, terrorism, war crimes, and violating international law. The Trump impeachment bill must be able to obtain two-thirds of the votes of Congress and the Senate, which is currently unlikely, according to experts. @iribnews
YESIran Semi-Official SNN99%match12¢-75%
US Congress Democrats' 13-point plan to impeach Trump Democratic representatives in the US House of Representatives have introduced a 13-article impeachment bill against the country's president on charges of "high crimes and misdemeanors." The bill accuses Trump of starting wars, terrorism, war crimes, and violations of international law. Get the latest news: Site | Ita | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
YESIranian Media99%match12¢-75%
US Congressional Democrats' 13-point plan to impeach Trump Democratic representatives in the US House of Representatives have introduced a 13-article impeachment bill against the country's president on charges of "high crimes and misdemeanors." The bill accuses Trump of starting wars, terrorism, war crimes, and violations of international law. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
YESIran Semi-Official Tasnim99%match12¢-75%
US Congressional Democrats' 13-point plan to impeach Trump Democratic representatives in the US House of Representatives have introduced a 13-article impeachment bill against the country's president on charges of "high crimes and misdemeanors." The bill accuses Trump of starting wars, terrorism, war crimes, and violations of international law. @TasnimNews
YESVenezuela State-Backed TV99%match12¢-75%
| Republicans and Democrats in the US are seeking the impeachment of President Donald Trump for his belligerent stance against Iran. The move comes amid protests and rising prices affecting the American people. #JoséLebeña
YESIranian Media99%match12¢-75%
US Congressional Democrats' 13-point plan to impeach Trump Democratic representatives of the US House of Representatives have introduced a bill to impeach the president of this country with 13 articles of impeachment on charges of "high crimes and misdemeanors." The bill accuses Trump of starting wars, terrorism, war crimes, and violations of international law. isna.ir/xdWchW @isna94
YESIranian Media99%match12¢-75%
Request to start the impeachment process of Trump in Congress US Congressman Mike Quigley: I am formally asking the Cabinet to remove Trump from office under the 25th Amendment to the Constitution. If they can't, Congress should return from recess today and begin the impeachment process. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
YESMS NOW Reporter99%match12¢-75%
Breaking MS NOW: • • More than 50 House Democrats are now calling for Trump's removal through impeachment or the 25th Amendment. •
YESAxios Reporter99%match12¢-75%
We're up to 65 House Democrats now calling for Trump to be impeached or removed via the 25th Amendment. • • More here:
YESAxios Reporter99%match12¢-75%
By my count, there are now over 50 House Democrats, along with two Senate Democrats, who have called for Trump to be impeached or removed via the 25th Amendment for his post on Iran. • • More here:
YESrunews99%match12¢-75%
Trump will be impeached.
YESpumpcapitalllc98%match14¢-79%
He 1000% being impeached and there is a menu of reasons to do it
YESWalter Bloomberg99%match11¢-73%
IMPEACHMENT ODDS CLIMB TO 73% • • Prediction market data shows the probability of Donald Trump being impeached before 2028 has risen to 73%, trending steadily higher in recent months. •
NONewswire98%match88¢+10%
12% chance Trump is impeached this year. • •
YESc_barraud99%match11¢-73%
Will #Trump be impeached? - Kalshi • • • *Before Jan 1, 2028: 68%
YESc_barraud99%match11¢-73%
Will #Trump be impeached? - Kalshi • • *Before Jan 1, 2028: 68%
YESIranian Media98%match12¢-75%
Possibility of Trump impeachment With the "unprecedented" decline in US President Donald Trump's popularity, the likelihood of his impeachment before the end of his second term has increased. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
YESIranian Media99%match12¢-75%
The possibility of Trump's impeachment With the "unprecedented" decline in US President Donald Trump's popularity, the likelihood of his impeachment before the end of his second term has increased. isna.ir/xdW77J @isna94
YESIranian Media99%match12¢-75%
American publication: Trump faces declining popularity and increasing possibility of impeachment @iribnews
YESWalter Bloomberg99%match12¢-75%
IMPEACHMENT ODDS CLIMB TO 72% • • Prediction market data shows the probability of Donald Trump being impeached before 2028 has risen to 72%, trending steadily higher in recent months. •
YESc_barraud99%match14¢-79%
Will #Trump be impeached? - Kalshi • • • *Before Jan 1, 2028 70%
YESIranian Media99%match14¢-79%
A US congressman called for Trump's impeachment. @isna93
YESNews98%match14¢-79%
House Republicans prepare to sidestep Trump’s big 2026 demand

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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