WY-AL Republican Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes17as of

This hub tracks 17 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Chuck Gray100%
Steve Friess0%
David Giralt0%
Keith Goodenough0%
Reid Rasner0%
John Romero-Martinez0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate E0%
Other0%
Richard Dodson0%
Jillian Balow0%
Bo Biteman0%
Frank Chapman0%
Kevin Christensen0%

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Chuck Grayms.now98%match100¢
Live: Chuck Gray projected to win GOP nod in Wyoming’s at-large House district
Chuck GrayAPws98%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Chuck Gray wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Wyoming's at-large Congressional District
Chuck Grayapnews.com98%match100¢
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Chuck Gray wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Wyoming’s at-large Congressional District
Chuck GrayDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match99¢+1%
Decision Desk HQ projects Chuck Gray wins the Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 11:31 PM EDT
Chuck GrayDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match98¢+2%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 38% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 14,377 (27.2%) • Steve Friess (R): 11,013 (20.9%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 8,703 (16.5%) • Jillian Balow (R): 5,140 (9.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Steve FriessDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 38% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 14,377 (27.2%) • Steve Friess (R): 11,013 (20.9%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 8,703 (16.5%) • Jillian Balow (R): 5,140 (9.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Jillian BalowDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 38% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 14,377 (27.2%) • Steve Friess (R): 11,013 (20.9%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 8,703 (16.5%) • Jillian Balow (R): 5,140 (9.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kevin ChristensenDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 38% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 14,377 (27.2%) • Steve Friess (R): 11,013 (20.9%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 8,703 (16.5%) • Jillian Balow (R): 5,140 (9.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Chuck GrayDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match95¢+5%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 9,819 (27.4%) • Steve Friess (R): 7,893 (22.0%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 5,511 (15.4%) • Reid Rasner (R): 3,626 (10.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
Steve FriessDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match95¢+5%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 9,819 (27.4%) • Steve Friess (R): 7,893 (22.0%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 5,511 (15.4%) • Reid Rasner (R): 3,626 (10.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
Reid RasnerDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 9,819 (27.4%) • Steve Friess (R): 7,893 (22.0%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 5,511 (15.4%) • Reid Rasner (R): 3,626 (10.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kevin ChristensenDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match98¢+2%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 9,819 (27.4%) • Steve Friess (R): 7,893 (22.0%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 5,511 (15.4%) • Reid Rasner (R): 3,626 (10.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
Chuck GrayDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match91¢+10%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 19% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 7,589 (27.8%) • Steve Friess (R): 6,101 (22.3%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 4,225 (15.5%) • Jillian Balow (R): 2,669 (9.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Steve FriessDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match91¢+10%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 19% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 7,589 (27.8%) • Steve Friess (R): 6,101 (22.3%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 4,225 (15.5%) • Jillian Balow (R): 2,669 (9.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Jillian BalowDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 19% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 7,589 (27.8%) • Steve Friess (R): 6,101 (22.3%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 4,225 (15.5%) • Jillian Balow (R): 2,669 (9.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kevin ChristensenDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 19% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 7,589 (27.8%) • Steve Friess (R): 6,101 (22.3%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 4,225 (15.5%) • Jillian Balow (R): 2,669 (9.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Chuck GrayDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match70¢+43%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 12% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 4,937 (28.7%) • Steve Friess (R): 3,838 (22.3%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 2,748 (16.0%) • Reid Rasner (R): 1,691 (9.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Steve FriessDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match72¢+39%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 12% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 4,937 (28.7%) • Steve Friess (R): 3,838 (22.3%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 2,748 (16.0%) • Reid Rasner (R): 1,691 (9.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Reid RasnerDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 12% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 4,937 (28.7%) • Steve Friess (R): 3,838 (22.3%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 2,748 (16.0%) • Reid Rasner (R): 1,691 (9.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kevin ChristensenDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match96¢+4%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 12% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 4,937 (28.7%) • Steve Friess (R): 3,838 (22.3%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 2,748 (16.0%) • Reid Rasner (R): 1,691 (9.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Chuck GrayDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match64¢+56%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 10% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 3,537 (24.9%) • Steve Friess (R): 2,888 (20.4%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 2,748 (19.4%) • Jillian Balow (R): 1,511 (10.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Steve FriessDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match64¢+56%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 10% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 3,537 (24.9%) • Steve Friess (R): 2,888 (20.4%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 2,748 (19.4%) • Jillian Balow (R): 1,511 (10.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Jillian BalowDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 10% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 3,537 (24.9%) • Steve Friess (R): 2,888 (20.4%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 2,748 (19.4%) • Jillian Balow (R): 1,511 (10.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kevin ChristensenDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match95¢+5%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 10% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 3,537 (24.9%) • Steve Friess (R): 2,888 (20.4%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 2,748 (19.4%) • Jillian Balow (R): 1,511 (10.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Chuck GrayDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match45¢+122%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 7% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 2,645 (26.5%) • Steve Friess (R): 2,057 (20.6%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 1,826 (18.3%) • Jillian Balow (R): 999 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Steve FriessDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match56¢+79%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 7% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 2,645 (26.5%) • Steve Friess (R): 2,057 (20.6%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 1,826 (18.3%) • Jillian Balow (R): 999 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Jillian BalowDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 7% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 2,645 (26.5%) • Steve Friess (R): 2,057 (20.6%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 1,826 (18.3%) • Jillian Balow (R): 999 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kevin ChristensenDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match91¢+10%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 7% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 2,645 (26.5%) • Steve Friess (R): 2,057 (20.6%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 1,826 (18.3%) • Jillian Balow (R): 999 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Chuck GrayDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match63¢+59%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 6% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 2,227 (28.0%) • Steve Friess (R): 1,811 (22.8%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 1,225 (15.4%) • Jillian Balow (R): 838 (10.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
Steve FriessDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match61¢+64%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 6% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 2,227 (28.0%) • Steve Friess (R): 1,811 (22.8%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 1,225 (15.4%) • Jillian Balow (R): 838 (10.5%) • • Follow more results here: •

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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