WY-AL Republican Primary WinnerChuck Gray
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$88Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Chuck Gray projected to win GOP nod in Wyoming’s at-large House district
YESAPws98%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Chuck Gray wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Wyoming's at-large Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Chuck Gray wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Wyoming’s at-large Congressional District
Decision Desk HQ projects Chuck Gray wins the Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 11:31 PM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 38% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 14,377 (27.2%) • Steve Friess (R): 11,013 (20.9%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 8,703 (16.5%) • Jillian Balow (R): 5,140 (9.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 9,819 (27.4%) • Steve Friess (R): 7,893 (22.0%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 5,511 (15.4%) • Reid Rasner (R): 3,626 (10.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
Where does the news lean?
14YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Related markets
See all outcomes for WY-AL Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.