Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
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Market pricing makes Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? the favorite at 10%, as of .
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Somaliland has “very big expectations” that more recognitions are in the offing, says an adviser to its president. That may be optimistic
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.