Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Open1as of
Market pricing makes Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? the favorite at 4%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Live: Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen of Denmark reiterated on Wednesday that Greenland is not for sale, hours after President Trump again said that the United States should have control over the Arctic island, which has been part of the Danish kingdom for 300 years, instead of Denmark.
An account on Polymarket has bet $66,000 that Trump will acquire Greenland.
Seizing Greenland risks 'monumental' fallout, ex-Iceland president warns, as Trump sharpens rhetoric
An emotional meeting, no breakthroughs. Trump still wants Greenland.
A senior Trump admin official says Trump’s push to annex Greenland “won’t be thwarted” and meaningful U.S. action could come within “weeks or months.”
*LEAVITT: TRUMP DOESN'T HAVE A TIMELINE FOR ACQUIRING GREENLAND
LEAVITT: TRUMP DOESN'T HAVE A TIMELINE FOR ACQUIRING GREENLAND
*LEAVITT: TRUMP DOESN'T HAVE A TIMELINE FOR ACQUIRING GREENLAND
Trump on Greenland: “If we don’t take Greenland, Russia or China will take Greenland & I’m am not going to let that happen (…) one way or the other, we’re gonna have Greenland” He also said he isn’t sure NATO would be there for USA if USA would need it
Trump on Greenland: We’re talking about acquiring not leasing. If we don’t do it, Russia or China will.
Trump: One way or the other, we're going to have Greenland.
President Trump continued to press for U.S. control of Greenland, telling reporters: "We are going to do something on Greenland whether they like it or not."
REPORTER: Why is it so important to you to own Greenland when you already have military presence there, which you could expand to address security concerns?” TRUMP: Because when we own it, we defend it. You don’t defend leases the same way — you have to own it.
Trump on Denmark and Greenland: “I would like to make a deal the easy way. If we don't do it the easy way, we’re
going to do it the hard way”
The Trump administration has once again threatened to take control of Greenland either by acquiring it or through the use of military force to "deter our adversaries in the Arctic region," risking divisions within the NATO alliance
The Trump administration has once again threatened to take control of Greenland either by acquiring it or through the use of military force to "deter our adversaries in the Arctic region," risking divisions within the NATO alliance
Trump on Greenland: " if we don't do it the easy way, we're gonna do it the hard way" Wow.
Trump on Greenland: If we do not do it the easy way, we will do it the hard way. By the way, I am a fan of Denmark. The fact they had a boat land there 500 years ago does not mean they own the land. We will be doing something with Greenland—the nice way, or the more difficult way
President Donald Trump ramped up his rhetoric over Greenland, saying he’s willing to secure the territory “the hard way” if authorities are unwilling to cut a deal for the US to take over the island
TRUMP SAYS U.S. WILL TAKE GREENLAND BY “EASY OR HARD” MEANS President Donald Trump said the United States will acquire Greenland either through negotiation or by force. Speaking to oil and gas executives, he argued that U.S. control is necessary to prevent Russia or China from…
Trump on Greenland: We'll make a deal the easy or hard way. We can defend Greenland better if we own it.
TRUMP ON GREENLAND: WE'LL MAKE A DEAL THE EASY OR HARD WAY
TRUMP: NOT TALKING ABOUT MONEY FOR GREENLAND YET
Trump: If we don't take Greenland, you are going to have Russia or China as your next-door neighbor. That's not going to happen.
Can pay every Greenlander $1 million and buy the island with just 2 months of tariff revenue. [Quoting @zerohedge]
> Trump's goal is to buy Greenland from Denmark: WSJ
Trump's goal is to buy Greenland from Denmark: WSJ
RUBIO TELLS LAWMAKERS TRUMP AIMS TO BUY GREENLAND - WSJ
Trump weighs using U.S. military to acquire Greenland: White House
BREAKING: Trump and team are discussing options to acquire Greenland, including potential military force, per Reuters.
President Trump won’t rule out the use of military force to acquire Greenland, the White House said, ramping up tension with fellow NATO member Denmark
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.