UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
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Market pricing makes UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? the favorite at 14%, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Reports indicate an imminent agreement between Iran and the United States. What are Tehran's conditions?
Axios: Iranian negotiators are awaiting final approvals from Iran's Supreme National Security Council regarding the agreement with Oman and the United States.
Axios: Iranian negotiators are awaiting final approvals from Iran's Supreme National Security Council regarding the agreement with Oman and the United States.
Russia and China foiled a resolution in the Security Council to discuss the Iranian nuclear issue
Live: UN Security Council members condemn Iran at emergency session
The latest discussions suggest he is looking for ways to break the deadlock with Tehran and hasn’t yet ruled out a return to fighting. Resuming the conflict, some officials acknowledge, would be a tacit admission that the much-touted Iran deal failed.
What is this event about?
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.