Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
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Market pricing makes Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026? the favorite at 24%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Roman Catholic Church announces the excommunication of any individual or group of individuals subsequent to market creation and by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be information from Pope Leo XIV, official information from the Catholic Church, or a consensus of credible reporting.