When will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
Resolved2as of
This hub tracks 2 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
December 31100%
September 30100%
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
*ANDREESSEN, THRIVE POISED FOR WINDFALL FROM SPACEX’S CURSOR BID
$SPACEX SpaceX secures option to acquire AI coding tool developer Cursor for $60B @SpaceX #SPACEX
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify.
An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.