Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
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Market pricing makes Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? the favorite at 2%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
G7 HAS REAFFIRMED ITS DETERMINATION TO CONTINUE SANCTIONS AGAINST RUSSIA.
G7 Statement: The G7 reaffirmed its determination to continue sanctions against Russia.
G7 STATEMENT: G7 REAFFIRMED THEIR DETERMINATION TO CONTINUE SANCTIONS AGAINST RUSSIA
G7 Statement: G7 Reaffirmed Their Determination to Continue Sanctions Against Russia
Live: G7 leaders agree no justification to lift Russia sanctions
G7 agreed to maintain sanctions against Russia, says Macron
FRENCH PRESIDENT MACRON SAYS G7 HAS AGREED SITUATION DOES NOT JUSTIFY LIFTING SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA
FRENCH PRESIDENT MACRON: G7 HAS AGREED SITUATION DOES NOT JUSTIFY LIFTING SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.