When will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast?
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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 3% across 3 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Putin has set his military the task of capturing Donbas by December 31 - Palisa The Kremlin has set the military leadership the task of reaching the administrative borders of the Luhansk and Donetsk regions by December 31 of this year, said Deputy Head of the Presidential Office Pavlo Palisa. As reported by an Interfax-Ukraine correspondent, he said this during a meeting with journalists.
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The Russian Army asks the Kremlin to move the deadline for Donbas to spring 2027, - Palisa According to the deputy head of the OP, the Donbas issue remains one of the key ones in political negotiations. The Russian political leadership has set the military the task of reaching the administrative borders of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. The Kremlin wants to accomplish it by December 31, 2026. At the same time, the Russian military leadership assesses the task differently. The military convinces the Russian political leadership that the set deadline is unrealistic. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.
Zelensky's claim about Russia's plan to completely capture Donetsk in 2027 Claiming that Russia is seeking to attract hundreds of thousands of new forces to continue the war, the Ukrainian president announced the possibility of Moscow's military operation to capture the remaining parts of the Donetsk region in 2027. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
Putin plans to seize Donetsk and Luhansk regions, - Deputy Head of the GUR of the Ministry of Defense Vadym Skibitsky "Their plans are as follows and this is what they say: by the end of this year there will be no agreements and no signing of a peace agreement.
Putin wants to achieve the goals he set for himself - these are, first of all, Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Their general staff plans to complete the seizure of Donetsk region by the end of this year," - said Major Skibitsky. #ExclusiveRBKUkraine Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.
In the coming months, Ukraine may lose control over Kostyantynivka. And the same risk may loom over Lyman and Dobropillya by the end of the year, - RBC-Ukraine sources in military-political circles According to the interlocutors, if events develop unfavorably by the end of winter, Russian troops may come very close to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk. At the same time, according to the Kremlin's plans, the Russian army should reach the administrative border of the Donetsk region by the end of the year. However, RBC-Ukraine sources doubt that Russia will be able to achieve this goal even in 2027. Read only the essence from RBC-Ukraine on Google. #ExclusiveRBKUkraine [in reply to: Ballistic terror and a trap for Putin: what is Russia planning and is a truce possible this year The pace of the Russian offensive has decreased. This year they are several times lower than in similar periods of previous years, and even lower than they were in winter. The greatest threat remains in the Donetsk region. Moscow still plans to take it by the end of this year. Informed sources of RBC-Ukraine do not consider these terms realistic. However, they suggest that in the coming months Ukraine may lose control over Kostyantynivka; by the end of the year risks may loom over Liman and Dobropillya. Russia may try an offensive in the north. Carrying out such an operation will depend on the presence of sufficient troops in the Russian Federation. This is an operation with limited forces to attempt to break through the border in Chernihiv or even Kyiv region, the main goal is to stretch Ukrainian defenses and pull forces away from Donetsk region. According to the publication, Russian losses at the front have already reached 40 thousand per month, of which more than 60% are dead. A new mobilization in the Russian Federation is not a settled matter. If Putin does take this step, it could involve 100-300 thousand people, and the campaign itself will most likely be stretched out for several months. Before winter, Moscow may intensify strikes, in particular on energy. It is already betting on ballistics and increasing the production of jet drones. Ukraine will respond with mirror strikes. The Russians produce about 66 9M723 missiles for the Iskander-M complex and approximately 10 hypersonic cruise missiles "Tsirkon" per month. There are almost no real prospects for a peaceful settlement this year, according to various interlocutors of RBC-Ukraine. Putin is not ready to end the war without capturing the Donetsk region. "We are currently looking for new ideas, since the old ones are not working," one of the sources familiar with the negotiations told the publication. Read only the essence from RBC-Ukraine on Google. #ExclusiveRBKUkraine]
Russians advance in Donetsk region – DeepState Russian occupation forces are advancing in the Donetsk region – in the Kalenkypy area (Kramatorsk district of Donetsk region) towards Sloviansk. This follows from DeepState maps in Telegram on Friday. "The map has been updated. The enemy has advanced near Kalenkypy," DeepState said in a message.
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The Russian authorities are ready to return to negotiations with Ukraine after capturing the entire territory of the Donetsk region, which they hope to do by the end of 2026, Bloomberg reports. At the same time, the publication, citing sources close to the Russian Defense Ministry, writes that many representatives of the Russian army consider such plans unrealistic and are convinced that they will be able to take control of the Donetsk region only in 2027 subscribe
#Russia.. Ukrainian forces control about 86% of Donetsk #SkyOnline
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If those areas are not simultaneously shaded red by the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant municipalities in Donetsk Oblast that must be simultaneously captured in their entirety are: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Oleksandrivka, Cherkaske, and Sviatohirsk.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
The territory of a municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities with a darker grey line. If all area within a municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this may still qualify.
Once Russia has captured the entirety of the above-specified municipalities simultaneously, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note:
1. Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
2. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will not qualify, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. Similarly, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Control must be established through military conquest.