Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
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Market pricing makes Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? the favorite at 2%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
'I still want to work': Basketball great LeBron James, 41, ditches retirement plans
PHILADELPHIA (AP) — LeBron James says he will play with the Philadelphia 76ers next season
LeBron James kicks off Game Plan — says he “won’t hold you guys up too much longer” in terms of making a team decision for next season.
[Replying to @LegionHoops] @LegionHoops @WeAreCavsNation 28% chance LeBron James retires before next season. > BREAKING: Donovan Mitchell and James Harden are expected to recruit LeBron James to Cleveland this summer, per @WeAreCavsNation
[Replying to @TheDunkCentral] @TheDunkCentral @mcten 23% chance LeBron retires before next season. > The Cleveland Cavaliers are open to having LeBron James finish his career with them, per @mcten
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.