When will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance?

OpenOutcomes2as of

Market pricing makes August 31, 2026 the favorite at 1% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

23 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Mabzaken 12 Avigdor Lieberman: "The moment I announce that I support Eisenkot, at that moment I will lose two seats. If Bennett announces that he supports Eisenkot, he will lose four seats. This announcement will be a small gain for Gad and a big loss for the bloc. Right now, every party must maximize its electorate." He said these words on 103FM
I understand that the appearance on "Meet" put some pressure on the "Yashrim." We've only just begun, get used to it. Facts are important in general and before elections in particular: 1. Eisenkot entered the previous Knesset without a party in personal armor as number 3. The fact that I acted on his behalf did not prevent "Yashrim" from acting together with Gantz to push me out of the war cabinet, contrary to a signed agreement. In any case, today it is clear that the turning point in the war in all sectors was, without a doubt, after he abandoned the war cabinet. 2. Contrary to the "Yashrim" lies, my entry into the government in September 2024 did not involve a political agreement. The political agreement with the Likud was signed six months later, in March 2025. 3. Eisenkot has never held any ministerial position. He is also devoid of any political experience. His parliamentary and ministerial achievements in the past term are close to zero. Many people testify to my successes as Foreign Minister, as in each of my ministerial positions. 4. As mentioned, all the significant moves in the war happened and were made possible only after Eisenkot abandoned the war cabinet, in which he sat in my place. This includes the two deals to return the hostages in January and October 2025, all the significant moves against Hezbollah (the beepers, the radios, the elimination of the missile depots, the elimination of Nasrallah, the seizure of the security zone), the elimination of Sinwar, the seizure of the buffer zone in Syria, and the historic moves against Iran: "With the Dog" and "The Roar of the Harrier." His "advice" during the time Cohen was in the war cabinet to end the war prematurely and on bad terms for Israel revealed weakness and feeble-mindedness. His pretensions are inversely proportional to his abilities, and things are about to become clearer.
August 31, 2026ynet.co.il93%match98¢+1%
Bennett vs. Eisenkot: "The moment you start with a 30% exemption, you know how it will end"
August 31, 2026N12 Reporter92%match98¢+1%
Bennett chooses to sting Eisenkot again: "A 30% exemption from conscription will end in nothing - just another round at the expense of the naive politician on duty." And added: "We will harness the security forces against Qatar; we will bring Egypt into Gaza instead of Turkey and Qatar; we will attack Iran in response to Hezbollah's firing."
August 31, 2026Kan92%match98¢+1%
Lapid in a closed conversation about "wasting votes" in the bloc: "I can't sort things out after Eisenkot. That's his job" | @yaara_shapira with the details #HereNewsEditor with @talberman
August 31, 2026N13 Reporter92%match98¢+1%
Bennett vs. Eisenkot: There will be no compromises on the draft
August 31, 2026daphnaliel93%match97¢+2%
Together chairman Naftali Bennett was asked this evening by the Marciano Foundation whether Lapid claimed to him that he was going to close with Eisenkot on the eve of their unification, even though there was no offer at all. I didn't hear a denial here.
August 31, 2026N12 Reporter93%match97¢+2%
Together chairman Naftali Bennett was asked this evening by the Marciano Foundation whether Lapid claimed to him that he was going to close with Eisenkot on the eve of their unification, even though there was no offer at all. I didn't hear a denial here.
August 31, 2026N13 Reporter92%match95¢+4%
Eisenkot goes on the offensive and takes off his gloves against his opponents, the Bennett bloc and the Golan.
August 31, 2026N13 Reporter91%match94¢+5%
Bennett in an interview with Lior Keinan tonight: Firmly refuses to commit that he will not demand the premiership if he brings in fewer seats than Eisenkot And explains why he is better than Eisenkot: "A lot of political experience is needed here"
August 31, 2026n12news95%match94¢+5%
Despite the polls leaning in favor of Gadi Eisenkot, Beyahat Chairman Naftali Bennett refuses to say that he will recommend his friend to the Change Bloc, Eisenkot, even if he wins the elections. In a special interview with @KerenMarc that will air tomorrow, Saturday, on "Weekend News" - Bennett addresses the decline in the polls, the union with Lapid and the possibility of another war with Iran | Tomorrow at 8:00 PM on "Weekend News"
August 31, 2026n12news95%match94¢+5%
Despite the polls leaning in favor of Gadi Eisenkot, Beyahat Chairman Naftali Bennett refuses to say that he will recommend his friend to the Change Bloc, Eisenkot, even if he wins the elections. In a special interview with @KerenMarc that will be broadcast tomorrow, Saturday, on "Weekend News" - Bennett addresses the decline in the polls, the union with Lapid and the possibility of another war with Iran | Tomorrow at 8:00 PM on "Weekend News" Less
August 31, 2026N13 Reporter91%match94¢+5%
Yair Lapid in an interview broadcast tonight on the "Friday" edition: "It is not obvious that Eisenkot is the bloc's candidate for prime minister." And in light of the decline in the polls, he says that the number of mandates should not determine - "Bennett is the most suitable"
Eisenkot opposed the attack on Iran. Abandoned a government during wartime before all the achievements we brought. He has no government without Yair Golan and the Arab parties. Eisenkot is leftist.
August 31, 2026N12 Reporter99%match94¢+5%
New details on the Tropper and Handel alliance - aiming for a broad Zionist government but will also complement Eisenkot or Bennett if there is no choice, provided the government does not include Arab parties; Tropper first but joint leadership, Rich-Rich on the list, and understanding to "act responsibly" if business does not pick up
August 31, 2026Kan99%match6¢-83%
Hili Tropper made it clear to Handel during the negotiations: If the connection does not achieve the desired effect - the next step is a connection to Eisenkot | First publication by @glick_sh >>>
August 31, 2026N13 Reporter99%match94¢+5%
Winter: I have a huge disagreement with Eisenkot
August 31, 2026N13 Reporter99%match93¢+6%
Eisenkot responds: Everything he ever promised blew up in our faces
June 30, 2026Galatz99%match19¢-100%
Does Yesh Atid's union with Bennett help or hurt the bloc? Lapid to @efitriger: "This is not a mathematical question, you are missing the magnitude of the event. There will be many more votes than you think. There will be a turnaround here like in 1977, Likud had 43 seats then - if Eisenkot joins, these are approximately the numbers we will have"
June 30, 2026n12news99%match18¢-100%
Yashar Party Chairman Gadi Eisenkot was asked at a closed conference last night about the importance of "determining the facts and decisions in advance" regarding the issue of mergers in the bloc ahead of the elections. Eisenkot replied: "I am a great believer in the obligation to make mergers, so that there will be a party that will be significantly above the Likud. The Likud today has 25-26 seats. The challenge is to make a merger that will bring 35 and 40 seats. I am committed to this and will do everything to make it happen." @DvirGivre | @yaircherki
June 30, 2026n12news99%match18¢-100%
Yashar Party Chairman Gadi Eisenkot was asked at a closed conference last night about the importance of "determining the facts and decisions in advance" regarding the issue of mergers in the bloc ahead of the elections. Eisenkot replied: "I am a great believer in the obligation to make mergers, so that there will be a party that will be significantly above the Likud. The Likud today has 25-26 seats. The challenge is to make a merger that will bring 35 and 40 seats. I am committed to this and will do everything to make it happen." @DvirGivre
June 30, 2026ynet.co.il99%match18¢-100%
Eisenkot: "My union with Bennett and Lapid - the optimal form for the elections"
June 30, 2026N12 Reporter99%match84¢+19%
Eisenkot: "Our party will be half men, half women, and one-third young people"

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The Yashar party ("Yashar! With Eisenkot") or the Together Party announce that the Yashar party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2) Gadi Eisenkot or the Together party announce that Gadi Eisenkot will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Yashar party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Yashar party for purposes of this market, provided Gadi Eisenkot is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Yashar party, the Together party, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related events