When will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance?June 30, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No$89Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Does Yesh Atid's union with Bennett help or hurt the bloc? Lapid to @efitriger: "This is not a mathematical question, you are missing the magnitude of the event. There will be many more votes than you think. There will be a turnaround here like in 1977, Likud had 43 seats then - if Eisenkot joins, these are approximately the numbers we will have"
Yashar Party Chairman Gadi Eisenkot was asked at a closed conference last night about the importance of "determining the facts and decisions in advance" regarding the issue of mergers in the bloc ahead of the elections. Eisenkot replied: "I am a great believer in the obligation to make mergers, so that there will be a party that will be significantly above the Likud. The Likud today has 25-26 seats. The challenge is to make a merger that will bring 35 and 40 seats. I am committed to this and will do everything to make it happen." @DvirGivre
Eisenkot: "My union with Bennett and Lapid - the optimal form for the elections"
Where does the news lean?
4YES1NO9neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The Yashar party ("Yashar! With Eisenkot") or the Together Party announce that the Yashar party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2) Gadi Eisenkot or the Together party announce that Gadi Eisenkot will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Yashar party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Yashar party for purposes of this market, provided Gadi Eisenkot is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Yashar party, the Together party, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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