Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
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Market pricing makes Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? the favorite at 53%, as of .
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15 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Democrats are favored in five states in our forecast: • Alaska - 62% • Maine - 54% • North Carolina - 82% • Ohio - 51% • Texas - 57% • • Find our Senate forecast, polling averages, and more on Vot
Democrats lead in 6 key Senate races, polls show
Just how bullish are Dems about their Senate prospects? On a call with reporters, SLF's Lauren French says the PAC is "very confident" about North Carolina & Georgia, "increasingly confident" about Michigan and Maine. They view toss-ups as now Iowa, Ohio, Alaska, and Texas
Democrats edge out, neck and neck with Republicans in 5 key Senate races: Polls Senate Democratic candidates are edging out or polling neck and neck with their GOP counterparts in five competitive Senate races this cycle — the latest indicator that Republicans are facing a tough midterm environment in even more traditionally redder areas, according to new surveys of the races. Polling released by The New York Times and…
DDHQ Forecast Update: • • Democrats remain the favorites to flip the Senate. In our forecast, Democrats have a 54% win probability, and are set to win 51 seats. • • Forecasted flips: • Alaska: 60% D • Maine: 53% D • North Carolina: 82% D • Ohio: 51% D • Texas: 56% D
New polls have Democrats thinking big on Senate Recent polling showing Democrats performing strongly in Senate battlegrounds and more reliably red states is fueling optimism that the party could clinch both chambers in November. An AARP poll released Monday showed Democrat Roy Cooper leading Republican Michael Whatley by 11 percentage points in the North Carolina Senate race, while recent polls have shown…
In the DDHQ Forecast, Democrats are favored to flip five seats, enough to secure a Senate majority. They have a 54% chance of winning control of the Senate. • • Democrats are favored in Toss Up races in Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. North Carolina is a Likely Democratic flip.
Live: The poll also gets at why this Senate map is so hard for Democrats. Even as Republicans confront a bleak national political environment, Maine and Michigan remain tight races. Those states are considered the friendliest states for Democrats because they are the bluest of all the competitive races. If Democrats don’t win both, reaching the majority gets difficult for them.
New - Senate forecast - Polymarket Ohio - Brown +9 Texas - Talarico +15 Michigan - El-Sayed +32 Alaska - Peltola +34 Maine - Jackson +41 New Hampshire - Pappas +65 North Carolina - Cooper +83 Georgia - Ossoff +87
FORECAST UPDATE: Democrats favored to flip the Senate • • Decision Desk HQ's latest model shows Democrats leading in almost every swing state, with five seats currently forecasted to flip: • • → North Carolina: 77% D • → Alaska: 59% D • â†... FORECAST UPDATE: Democrats favored to flip the Senate • • Decision Desk HQ's latest model shows Democrats leading in almost every swing state, with five seats currently forecasted to flip: • • → North Carolina: 77% D • → Alaska: 59% D • → Texas: 55% D • → Ohio: 54% D • → Maine: 53% D
Key Races: • Georgia: 82% Dem • North Carolina: 78% Dem • Michigan: 68% Dem • Texas: 54% Dem • Maine: 52% Dem • Ohio: 50% GOP • Florida: 80% GOP • Kansas: 82% GOP • Nebraska: 85% GOP • • Find our full forecast on Votes:
In the DDHQ Forecast, Susan Collins is favored to defeat the Democratic nominee in Maine's Senate election. • • She has a 53% probability of winning, while the Democratic nominee has a 47% win probability.
Democrats could actually retake the Senate. Here are the races to watch.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.