Will Cap launch a token by ___?

OpenOutcomes7as of

Market pricing makes March 31, 2027 the favorite at 52% across 7 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

June 30, 2026coinbasemarkets98%match14¢-100%
The launch of trading for these assets is contingent on market-making support, and sufficient technical infrastructure. We will announce the launch of trading separately once these conditions have been met.
The launch of trading for these assets is contingent on market-making support, and sufficient technical infrastructure. We will announce the launch of trading separately once these conditions have been met.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cap officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Cap will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Cap (https://x.com/CapApp), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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