When will any country join the Mecca Agreement?

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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 17% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .

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December 31Kan Reporter97%match78¢+6%
Qatar says today that it is too early to talk about joining the Mecca Agreement, the trilateral defense alliance between Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkey, but they support any step that will bring stability to the region.
October 31Kan Reporter97%match92¢+7%
Qatar says today that it is too early to talk about joining the Mecca Agreement, the trilateral defense alliance between Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkey, but they support any step that will bring stability to the region.
December 31aa_arabic93%match21¢-19%
Pakistan: More than 6 countries interested in joining the "Mecca Alliance" Pakistani Foreign Minister Mohammad Ishaq Dar stated that an extraordinary meeting will be held next week to assess and coordinate on the latest developments in Saudi Arabia
October 31aa_arabic93%match7¢-71%
Pakistan: More than 6 countries interested in joining the "Mecca Alliance" Pakistani Foreign Minister Mohammad Ishaq Dar stated that an extraordinary meeting will be held next week to assess and coordinate on the latest developments in Saudi Arabia
Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Muhammad Ishaq Dar announced that a meeting of the Political-Strategic Defense Committee of the Mecca Pact will soon be held in Riyadh. • • He stressed that no fees or charges should be imposed on vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz. • • Dar noted that more than six countries have expressed interest in joining the Mecca Pact. • • He also said that no decisions will be made on new membership applications until the Mecca Pact is fully implemented and operational.
Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Muhammad Ishaq Dar announced that a meeting of the Political-Strategic Defense Committee of the Mecca Pact will soon be held in Riyadh. • • He stressed that no fees or charges should be imposed on vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz. • • Dar noted that more than six countries have expressed interest in joining the Mecca Pact. • • He also said that no decisions will be made on new membership applications until the Mecca Pact is fully implemented and operational.
December 31Iranian Media95%match85¢-2%
Pakistan: Mecca Agreement meeting to discuss political engagement with Ansarullah Pakistan Foreign Minister: The Strategic Political Defense Committee, established under the Mecca Agreement for joint defense between Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey, will meet in Riyadh next week to discuss ways to engage politically with the Houthi group instead of resorting to military action. Decision on membership applications will not be made until the agreement is fully operational isna.ir/xdXb7Z @isna94
October 31Iranian Media95%match91¢+8%
Pakistan: Mecca Agreement meeting to discuss political engagement with Ansarullah Pakistan Foreign Minister: The Strategic Political Defense Committee, established under the Mecca Agreement for joint defense between Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey, will meet in Riyadh next week to discuss ways to engage politically with the Houthi group instead of resorting to military action. Decision on membership applications will not be made until the agreement is fully operational isna.ir/xdXb7Z @isna94
December 31iranintlbrk91%match64¢+30%
Pakistan's Foreign Ministry: The Mecca Agreement is a defensive alliance and there are currently no plans to expand this alliance.
October 31iranintlbrk92%match88¢+11%
Pakistan's Foreign Ministry: The Mecca Agreement is a defensive alliance and there are currently no plans to expand this alliance.
December 31Asharq93%match64¢+30%
Pakistani Foreign Ministry: The Mecca Agreement is a defensive alliance and there are no plans to expand it at present.
October 31Asharq93%match88¢+11%
Pakistani Foreign Ministry: The Mecca Agreement is a defensive alliance and there are no plans to expand it at present.
December 31News92%match33¢-48%
URGENT New countries may join the Mecca Defense Pact – diplomat
October 31News92%match12¢-83%
URGENT New countries may join the Mecca Defense Pact – diplomat
December 31Walla Reporter94%match33¢-48%
Pakistan says that 6-7 more Muslim countries are interested in joining the Mecca Defense Agreement
October 31Walla Reporter94%match17¢-88%
Pakistan says that 6-7 more Muslim countries are interested in joining the Mecca Defense Agreement

What is this event about?

The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs: the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory. Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement. Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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