Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? the favorite at 6%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

NOVenezuela State TV99%match83¢+13%
#EnVideo| Los BRICS, como bloque económico emergente, continúan ampliando su alcance hacia áreas como la educación, la ciencia, la salud y la cultura. En esta nueva etapa, la alianza realizó por primera vez el concurso internacional Miss BRICS, un evento que reunió a representantes de 47 naciones.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related events