Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence
Resolved10as of
This hub tracks 10 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Lisa Murkowski100%
Susan Collins100%
John Curtis100%
Dan Sullivan100%
Rand Paul100%
John Cornyn100%
Bill Cassidy100%
Thom Tillis100%
What moved the odds?
No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.