Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Open32as of
Market pricing makes None in 2026 the favorite at 65% across 32 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
OpenAI has made GPT-6 available to all ChatGPT users. The new model is also available to those who use the AI bot for free. The company also introduced the Intelligent UI feature, which allows you to generate responses with graphs, charts, buttons, forms, and other interactive elements. GPT-6 can begin generating a response before completing reasoning or working with tools, gradually adding results. OpenAI stated that the new model better determines when it needs to access the internet and more accurately reports its own limitations. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
[AI Now] Will ChatGPT and Claude catch up? Google launches all-out offensive with technology, pricing, and marketing after launching 'Gemini 4'
OpenAI will not release its newest artificial intelligence model, known as Astra 6.1, after internal testing by the ChatGPT-maker revealed it did not meet safety standards, the company has confirmed. •
Anthropic is launching a new AI model designed to accomplish a wide range of business tasks at a lower cost, as the startup seeks to stay ahead of the competition before its initial public offering. The new model, called Claude Opus 5.5, offers performance similar to Fable 5.1, but at a significantly lower cost. According to the company, the new model produces output faster than Opus 5, and tests have shown it writes more clearly. Anthropic plans to expand the 5.5 model family with the release of new versions of Claude Sonnet and Haiku in the coming weeks. #Arabic_Business
OpenAI Unveils 'Astra'... Will It Change the Landscape of AI Competition?
AnthropicРешение компании может быть связано с выпуском GPT-6 Astra от OpenAI, которая завоевала популярность у бизнеса и вызвало обеспокоенность у некоторых инвесторов Anthropic, пишет Reuters96%match12¢-8%
Reuters has learned that Anthropic intends to release a new AI model before its IPO.
EXCLUSIVE-Anthropic considers releasing new AI model ahead of IPO, sources say
Exclusive-Anthropic Considers Launching a New AI Model Ahead of IPO, Sources Say
Anthropic CEO: The company will slow down the pace of AI model development.
OPENAI: LAUNCHES CHATGPT FOR FINANCIAL SERVICES WITH GPT-6 ASTRA REASONING
OpenAI: Launches ChatGPT for Financial Services with Gpt-6 Astra Reasoning
OpenAI to begin rolling out its newest and most powerful AI model GPT-5 – says it has built in safeguards to mitigate security risks • •
OpenAI does a victory lap for its new AI model: 'Welcome to the AGI era'
AI: OpenAI releases more powerful AI model ChatGPT-6
OPENAI'S PRESIDENT SAYS AGI MAY HAVE ALREADY ARRIVED, AND THAT THIS IS THE MODEL • • Greg Brockman told reporters that in a couple of years, when people look back and ask when AGI was created, he thinks the answer will be around now and possibly this model. • • OpenAI launched GPT-6 Astra Thursday and calls it the world's best computer use model. In the company's own tests it booked DMV appointments, searched job listings, and apartment hunted faster than the average person. • • Rollout starts with enterprise clients in the Daybreak early access program, then ChatGPT Plus, Pro, and Business. No word on free users. • • OpenAI is racing toward a planned IPO. So is Anthropic.
OpenAI has paused the largest planned training cycle of one of its cutting-edge AI models due to growing cybersecurity risks. The decision was made in response to the OpenAI and Hugging Face incident, as well as preliminary evidence that the Astra model under development may reach a critical level of cybersecurity capabilities. The company continues to conduct smaller-scale training and testing to validate model behavior and the effectiveness of new security measures. OpenAI has also restricted internet access for its research systems and increased monitoring of its most powerful models. The system must detect attempts at hacking, data theft, and bypassing security mechanisms. In July 2026, OpenAI's advanced AI models, including GPT-5.6-Sol, broke out of an isolated environment during internal cybersecurity tests, connected to the internet, and carried out an unauthorized hacker attack on the Hugging Face platform infrastructure. More IZ RU news in MAX
OpenAI has suspended training new AI models due to cyber risks, halting testing for two weeks. Following a hacking incident involving another company's AI agent being tested, OpenAI has decided to strengthen its security systems. Additional AI systems will now monitor the actions of test agents. Training of the next generation of models, codenamed Astra, has also been suspended. BAZA on Telegram
BAZA on MAX
Anthropic sees AI risks rising, no plan to release stronger "Model 2"
Qwen 3.8-Max: Alibaba launches its most advanced AI model to date.
Alibaba launches its largest AI model and moves closer to competing with American giants
#Arabic_Business
Alibaba launches its largest AI model and moves closer to competing with American giants
#Arabic_Business
Alibaba shares rally after unveiling its 'most powerful' AI model as U.S.-China competition heats up
Alibaba shares rally after unveiling its 'most powerful' AI model as U.S.-China competition heats up
US-Listed Shares of Alibaba Gain 4.3% Premarket After Co Unveils New AI Model
Alibaba Unveils New AI Model… Approaches Kimi with 2.4 Trillion Parameters
Alibaba's new Qwen AI model falls short of 'second only to Fable 5' claim
OpenAI Previews ‘Astra’ AI Model in DC - the Information
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.