Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
Open33as of
Market pricing makes Anthropic the favorite at 95% across 33 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
OpenAI Unveils Cost-Effective Model 'GPT-6.1 Sol' and AI Agent 'Dots'
OpenAI launches Dots, a new generation of AI agents, competing with companies like Meta Platforms. The new AI agent can use a computer and access information from various connected applications to conduct research, draft documents, and develop software. #Arabic_Business
OpenAI has unveiled an AI agent designed to proactively accomplish tasks on behalf of the user, competing with companies like Meta Platforms in the growing market for AI-powered digital assistants. OpenAI said the product, called Dots, can use the computer and access information from various connected applications to conduct research, draft documents, and develop software. Users can instruct and interact with the agent by messaging it through ChatGPT. The company revealed the new tool at its Developer Day event on Tuesday, along with an updated version of its Sol model and a collaborative space that allows teams to work with AI together. #Arabic_Business
OpenAI just launched its answer to Meta: 'always-on' AI agents called Dots
OpenAI’s AI agents need to catch up
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.