Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)
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22 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Alibaba's stock price rose as much as 5.6% in Hong Kong trading on Monday. This followed the company's pre-release of a new large language model, which it claimed would perform only slightly better than Anthropic's Fable 5.
Alibaba Unveils “World’s 2nd Highest Performance” AI… China’s ‘Deep Seek Shock’ Now Part of Daily Life
China's Alibaba to unveil new AI model, claiming it has "performance second only to the US's leading models."
Following Moonshot, Alibaba Too… Another Chinese AI Open Model Is Coming
Alibaba Unveils New Model as Chinese AI Firms Shake Up Silicon Valley
Alibaba Unveils 2.4 Trillion Parameter 'Q1 3.8'... Igniting Frontier AI Race in China
Following 'Kimi', China's Alibaba Also Unveils New AI... "Ranked 2nd in the World After Claude"
Chinese AI company Moonshot AI surprised markets with the launch of its new Kimi K3 model, reigniting the debate about the US's progress in the AI race compared to China. The company stated that the new model outperforms most global competitors, with the exception of advanced models from Anthropic and OpenAI, suggesting that China may be closing the gap with the US at a faster pace than anticipated, according to Bloomberg. Previous estimates indicated that Chinese AI models lagged behind leading American models by about 6 to 9 months, but some experts believe the gap has now narrowed to just two or three months in certain areas, particularly programming. Ion Stoica, a computer science professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and co-founder of Databricks, said the recent development reflects a significant shift in the ability of Chinese open-source models to compete with advanced models. The launch of Kimi K3 has raised concerns in Silicon Valley about the effectiveness of the massive spending by US tech companies on developing AI models, amidst Questions arise about the ability of US companies to maintain their dominance. This new development comes at a time when companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are facing pressure to reduce the costs of developing and using artificial intelligence, with some customers looking for less expensive alternatives. The Kimi K3 model is based on a massive architecture with 2.8 trillion parameters, and Moonshot says it is designed to perform advanced tasks, particularly in programming and proxy AI applications. Analysts believe this new Chinese development could increase global competition in the AI market and put additional pressure on US companies to prove their superiority in terms of performance, cost, and user experience.
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Containing 2.8 trillion pieces of information, Chinese company Moonshot announces its latest AI model, the Kimi K3.
Chinese AI company Moonshot launches new model 'Kimi K3'... "Chasing Claude and GPT"
Chinese AI firm Moonshot unveils powerful model with capabilities close to Anthropic, OpenAI
China's Moonshot AI gains on Anthropic, OpenAI with new low-cost model
From “News Items” from @EllisItems this AM ( • • “2. Financial Times: • • Chinese AI start-up Moonshot has released a large language model with capabilities approaching those of frontier US labs such as Anthropic, as the gap narrows between the two countries on state-of-the-art AI. • The Beijing-based group released Kimi K3, China’s largest AI model to date with 2.8 trillion parameters, on Thursday. The number of parameters refers to the size of the model’s neural network, with a higher count generally leading to greater capabilities. • • Anthropic has not disclosed its models’ parameters, but industry experts speculate its flagship Claude Opus 4.8 has 1.5 trillion-2 trillion parameters. • People with knowledge of the development said K3 would be freely available to download as a so-called open-weight model. • • K3 was beating Opus 4.8 and OpenAI’s GPT 5.5 in most coding and general AI agent benchmarks, according to results released by Moonshot. On most benchmarks it was still falling short of Fable, a powerful model that Anthropic briefly suspended after the US raised concerns over its hacking capabilities. (Source:
From “News Items” from @EllisItems this AM ( • • “2. Financial Times: • • Chinese AI start-up Moonshot has released a large language model with capabilities approaching those of frontier US labs such as Anthropic, as the gap narrows between the two countries on state-of-the-art AI. • The Beijing-based group released Kimi K3, China’s largest AI model to date with 2.8 trillion parameters, on Thursday. The number of parameters refers to the size of the model’s neural network, with a higher count generally leading to greater capabilities. • • Anthropic has not disclosed its models’ parameters, but industry experts speculate its flagship Claude Opus 4.8 has 1.5 trillion-2 trillion parameters. • People with knowledge of the development said K3 would be freely available to download as a so-called open-weight model. • • K3 was beating Opus 4.8 and OpenAI’s GPT 5.5 in most coding and general AI agent benchmarks, according to results released by Moonshot. On most benchmarks it was still falling short of Fable, a powerful model that Anthropic briefly suspended after the US raised concerns over its hacking capabilities. (Source:
Chinese startup Moonshot AI has unveiled a new model it says closes the gap with leading U.S. offerings and surpasses OpenAI and Anthropic’s most capable systems on some benchmarks. • • Kimi K3 still trails Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and OpenAI’s GPT 5.6 Sol on overall performance, the company said on Friday, but consistently outperformed other tested models. • • Read more here:
Chinese startup Moonshot AI unveils Kimi model it says rivals OpenAI, Anthropic
Chinese startup Moonshot AI unveils Kimi model it says rivals OpenAI, Anthropic
Moonshot is Scheduled to Release Kimi K3, China’s Largest AI Model to Date with 2tn-3tn Parameters, in the Coming Days-FT
Chinese AI Start-Up Moonshot to Launch Model Challenging Anthropic’s Lead-FT
Meta says its new AI model is ready to compete on coding
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.