Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

OpenOutcomes10as of

Market pricing makes $200M the favorite at 98% across 10 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

$1B57%
$2B26%
$3B12%
$4B7%
$5B4%

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

$100Mzoomerfied95%match98¢
[ ZOOMER ] • • ODDS THAT VARIATIONAL LAUNCHES ITS ANTICIPATED TGE ABOVE A $1B VALUATION AT 63%: POLYMARKET
$1Bzoomerfied95%match63¢-10%
[ ZOOMER ] • • ODDS THAT VARIATIONAL LAUNCHES ITS ANTICIPATED TGE ABOVE A $1B VALUATION AT 63%: POLYMARKET
$1BNews97%match63¢-10%
Odds That Variational Launches Its Anticipated TGE Above A $1B Valuation At 63% Source: Velo

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".