U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
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Market pricing makes U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? the favorite at 3%, as of .
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'There will be elections in Venezuela,' interim leader tells UN • • Venezuela's Interim President, Delcy Rodriguez, says there will be elections in the country after thanking US President Donald Trump for resuming diplomatic relations, during her speech at the UN General Assembly.
Venezuela's interim president announces elections to be held for a full transition to democracy; thanks President Trump in a speech at the UN General Assembly.
[UPDATE] Trump to Venezuela's Rodriguez: Elections need to happen (first reported at 2026-09-23T18:14:30Z)
Live: Venezuela’s acting leader praises Trump for ‘readiness’ to resume ties
Live: Rubio also said that President Trump had spoken the previous evening with Delcy Rodríguez, who has led Venezuela since the United States seized President Nicolás Maduro in January, and that Trump had discussed building up Venezuela’s economy and laying the foundation for a political transition in the country. Rubio said that an economic crisis would endanger “the survival of a democracy there, which is ultimately what we want to see in Venezuela.” He added that he knew nothing of recent efforts by María Corina Machado, the Venezuelan opposition leader, to try to return to Venezuela and the roadblocks she has encountered.
Assaf Rosenzweig
Maria Corina Machado, the leader of the Venezuelan opposition, has tried to return to her country in three different attempts in the past 24 hours, by sea and by air, but all have failed, Pedro Orochurto, her close advisor, announced tonight. At the same time, Trump met on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly with Venezuelan President Delcy Rodriguez
Venezuelan opposition leader Machado fails in return attempts as Rodriguez meets Trump
#Video Venezuelan opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize laureate Maria Collina Machado told the Wall Street Journal that she can't wait any longer. The Trump administration has signed a major oil deal with the Rodriguez government. In an interview prior to the announcement of the deal, Machado detailed her plans to push for a democratic transition in Venezuela, despite some resistance from the U.S.
Venezuela's interim president arrives in the United States for the first time since the attacks; will meet with Trump on the 22nd and deliver a speech at the UN General Assembly.
Important story by @VeraMBergen who spoke with opposition leader Maria Corina Machado in Panama City as she prepares to return to Venezuela. Machado warns that interim president Delcy Rodriguez "represents chaos" — even as President Trump prepares to meet with Rodriguez in New York in a few days. •
Trump confirmed that the United States has reached an agreement with Venezuela to gain control of a large portion of the Latin American country's oil reserves. A U.S. official stated that Venezuelan interim president Rodriguez has awarded 100-year leases on these oil fields to a private company.
Venezuela's interim president: We have concluded a historic agreement with the United States that will have a major impact on our country's revival and the flow of investments to rebuild our strategic infrastructure.
Venezuela's interim president: We have reached a historic agreement with the United States that will have a major impact on our country's revival.
US-backed Venezuela talks to begin without opposition leader Machado
US President Donald Trump: Venezuela is not yet ready to hold elections... but we have made great progress, and the Delcy administration is doing a fantastic job... and major US oil companies are preparing to invest there.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.