US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)
Open40as of
This hub tracks 40 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
All further outcomes (10 more):
Leylah Fernandez · Maria Sakkari · Reese Brantmeier · Thea Frodin · Leolia Jeanjean · Sofia Kenin · Carol Young Suh Lee · Taylah Preston · Sloane Stephens · Venus Williams
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Tennis player Elena Rybakina will become the world's number one tennis player following the US Open.
Ben Goldfriend
Tennis | After a 4:41 hour match: Frances Tiafoe came back from 2 sets down to win 6-10 in the 5th set tiebreaker over Alex Mickelson to advance to the US Open semifinals. In the women's singles, Jessica Pegula came back from a set down to beat Emma Navarro 2-1 and also earned a spot in the last 4, where she will face world number 1 Aryna Sabalenka.
Rybakina beat Osaka and reached her first US Open quarterfinal Elena Rybakina reached her first US Open quarterfinal, defeating Naomi Osaka in straight sets, 6-1, 6-4. Previously, Rybakina's best result on the US Open courts was reaching the round of 16. On her way to her historic quarterfinal, the Kazakh knocked out three more athletes from the tournament grid: American Thea Frodin (585th place) - 6:3, 6:2. Spaniard Jessica Busas Maneiro (105th place) - 6:2, 6:4. Ukrainian Yulia Starodubtseva (58th place) - 7:6, 6:3. This year, the winner of the American Grand Slam tournament will earn $5.5 million, and also receive 2000 ranking points.
Naomi Osaka eliminated in the fourth round of the US Open Women's Singles Tennis Tournament
Ben Goldfreund
Tennis | Reigning US champion and world number 1 Aryna Sabalenka advanced to the quarterfinals for the sixth consecutive time after defeating American Taylor Townsend 6-3, 6-4 in an hour and 15 minutes.
Belarusian Aryna Sabalenka advanced to the round of 16 at the US Open by defeating Uzbek Kamilla Rakhimova 6-3, 6-4 at Louis Armstrong Stadium. The match was paused when the world number one alerted the chair umpire to a strong smell of marijuana on the court. What do you think? #Tennis #USOpen #Sabalenka #Sep4 #teleSUR
Two-time defending champion Aryna Sabalenka outgunned Kamilla Rakhimova to reach the US Open last 16, with men's defending champion Carlos Alcaraz aiming to follow on Friday. • •
Aryna Sabalenka reached the round of 16 of the US Open tennis championship.
FWD from Suspilne Sport: Elina Svitolina advanced to the third round of the US Open-2026: she beat Australian Maya Joynt in three sets — 6:2, 6:7, 6:4. Svitolina is the second representative of Ukraine to reach the third round of the US Open-2026, Marta Kostyuk also did so. Oleksandra Oliynykova and Yulia Starodubtseva will also compete for a place in the next round. Svitolina's next opponent will be "neutral" Anna Kalinskaya.
Ben Goldfreund
Tennis | Carlos Alcaraz continues his title defense at the US Open and came back from a set down tonight to win 3:1 over Jaime Faria of Portugal. Women's champion Aryna Sabalenka is also in the next round after an easy 6:1, 6:1 over Polina Ayatchenko in just 53 minutes.
Rybakina and Putintseva advance to the second round of the US Open Two Kazakhstani tennis players have successfully passed the first round of the 2026 US Open. Elena Rybakina, seeded second, easily defeated American Thea Frodin – 6:3, 6:2. The match lasted 1 hour and 15 minutes. But Yulia Putintseva created a real drama. The 84th racket of the world, after losing the first set, snatched victory from the 12th racket of the world Belinda Bencic – 4:6, 7:5, 6:3. The tennis players spent almost three hours on the court. In the second round, Rybakina will face the winner of the pair Daria Vidmanova - Jessica Buzas Maneiro, and Putintseva will face Olympic champion Zheng Qinwen.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.