US obtains Iranian enriched uranium

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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 6% across 8 tracked outcomes, as of .

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What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

September 30Asharq99%match95¢+4%
A US official told ABC: Iran must give us its highly enriched uranium, or we have military options to keep it buried underground.
The US has ruled out a deal with Iran without the removal of enriched uranium, according to media reports.
September 30cnn.com99%match95¢+4%
Live: No deal with Iran unless US obtains enriched uranium, senior US official says
July 31cnn.com99%match99¢+1%
Live: No deal with Iran unless US obtains enriched uranium, senior US official says
July 31apnews.com99%match99¢+1%
Live: US officials send mixed signals on Iran’s enriched uranium
June 30French Media98%match87¢+15%
THE SCOUTS - Iranian arsenal remains largely operational, according to US intelligence assessments
June 30babakvahdad98%match87¢+15%
As expected, US officials deny the report. • #Iran #IranWar
Iranian officials: Serious disagreements exist between Iran and the US regarding the disposal of enriched uranium.
Iranian officials: Serious disagreements exist between Iran and the US regarding the disposal of enriched uranium.
June 30Al Arabiya99%match88¢+14%
US officials told Axios: Iran's latest response has revived the military option.
May 31livesquawk99%match94¢+6%
.@realDonaldTrump Also told me that Iranian negotiators told him the US will have to retrieve the "nuclear dust" at Iran's destroyed facilities as Iran does not have the technology to do it.
June 30marketnews_feed99%match87¢+15%
THERE IS A 45% IRAN AGREES TO SURRENDER ENRICHED URANIUM STOCKPILE BY DECEMBER 31, PER POLYMARKET: ...
May 31alarabiya99%match6¢-100%
Trump: We will get the Iranian uranium as soon as possible... We are monitoring it.
May 31alhadath99%match6¢-100%
Trump: We will get the Iranian uranium as soon as possible... We are monitoring it.
May 31alhadath99%match6¢-100%
Trump: We will get the Iranian uranium very soon... We are monitoring it.
May 31alarabiya99%match6¢-100%
Trump: We will get the Iranian uranium very soon... We are monitoring it.
May 31Al Hadath99%match6¢-100%
Trump: We are monitoring Iranian uranium and will obtain it as soon as possible.
May 31Al Arabiya99%match6¢-100%
Trump: We will get the Iranian uranium as soon as possible... We are monitoring it.
May 31alhadath98%match94¢+6%
Iran confirms: We are still studying the response to the American proposal.
June 30alhadath99%match89¢+12%
Research institute suggests: It is difficult to transport Iranian uranium without detection.
December 31iranintlbrk99%match28¢-79%
US President: We will take delivery of Iran's enriched uranium
December 31marketnews_feed99%match28¢-79%
TRUMP STATED THAT THE UNITED STATES WILL OBTAIN ENRICHED URANIUM FROM IRAN. ...
December 31redboxwire99%match28¢-79%
Trump stated that the United States will obtain enriched uranium from Iran.
December 31firstsquawk99%match28¢-79%
Trump stated that the United States will obtain enriched uranium from Iran.
December 31PBS Reporter99%match28¢-79%
The president says the current deal being ironed out between the US and Iran would include Iran exporting highly enriched uranium to the US.
December 31News99%match72¢+31%
URGENT Trump said that the transfer of enriched uranium to the US is a condition of a future deal with Iran.
December 31ynet.co.il99%match28¢-79%
Trump: Enriched uranium will go to the US
"US humiliated by Iran"
December 31Sky News Arabia98%match28¢-79%
Axios, citing two sources: Iran will agree to transfer highly enriched uranium out of its territory, a key US demand.
December 31Sky News Arabia99%match28¢-79%
Axios, citing two sources: Iran will agree to transfer enriched uranium out of its territory, a key US demand.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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