US obtains Iranian enriched uraniumJune 30

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$4.5MResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOFrench Media98%match87¢+15%
THE SCOUTS - Iranian arsenal remains largely operational, according to US intelligence assessments
Iranian officials: Serious disagreements exist between Iran and the US regarding the disposal of enriched uranium.
NOmarketnews_feed99%match87¢+15%
THERE IS A 45% IRAN AGREES TO SURRENDER ENRICHED URANIUM STOCKPILE BY DECEMBER 31, PER POLYMARKET: ...

Where does the news lean?

0YES6NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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