US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
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Market pricing makes US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? the favorite at 5%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
U.S. government moves more than $1 billion in Bitcoin. • The transfer comes as key details of the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve remain undisclosed.
House Committee Advances American Reserve Modernization Act (H.R. 8957) to Codify Trump’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. • The American Reserve Modernization Act of 2026, or H.R. 8957, has moved forward in Congress as lawmakers consider putting the U.
US Bitcoin reserve bill passes House Committee
US Bitcoin Reserve Stalls As Treasury And Commerce Vie For Control: Report
US Bitcoin reserve hits snag as federal agencies debate for control
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.