US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Open$60Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 11% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES11¢
NO90¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
US Bitcoin Reserve Stalls As Treasury And Commerce Vie For Control: Report
US Bitcoin reserve hits snag as federal agencies debate for control
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.