US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

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Market pricing makes US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? the favorite at 7%, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

YESRussian Media93%match9¢-22%
The United States has approved construction of the country's first commercial small modular reactor. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission released a statement to this effect. The reactor will be built in eastern Tennessee by the Tennessee Valley Authority with the commission's approval. It is a 300-megawatt nuclear reactor designed by GE Vernova Hitachi. Small modular reactors have approximately one-third the capacity of traditional nuclear plants. According to TVA, the technology is designed using prefabricated components, passive safety features, and lower land and water costs. More IZ RU news in MAX
YESzerohedge99%match14¢-50%
US Nuclear Regulator Seeks Simpler Environmental Reviews To Boost Nuclear Expansion
YESdbws.io99%match19¢-63%
US nuclear power regulator proposes narrowing scope of environmental reviews
YESnypost.com99%match19¢-63%
Live: Energy secretary vows to 'get moving with nuclear power again'

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.