University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026

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This hub tracks 7 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

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≥55.0100%
40.0–42.90%
<40.00%
52.0–54.90%
43.0–45.90%
49.0–51.90%
46.0–48.90%

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

≥55.0yna.co.kr98%match95¢+5%
U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for July at 55.2… Improvement for Two Consecutive Months
40.0–42.9yna.co.kr97%match100¢
U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for July at 55.2… Improvement for Two Consecutive Months
52.0–54.9yna.co.kr97%match96¢+4%
U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for July at 55.2… Improvement for Two Consecutive Months
43.0–45.9yna.co.kr97%match95¢+5%
U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for July at 55.2… Improvement for Two Consecutive Months
49.0–51.9yna.co.kr97%match96¢+4%
U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for July at 55.2… Improvement for Two Consecutive Months
46.0–48.9yna.co.kr97%match100¢
U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for July at 55.2… Improvement for Two Consecutive Months
≥55.047news.jp98%match95¢+5%
The University of Michigan's July consumer confidence index rose to 55.2, exceeding market expectations.
40.0–42.947news.jp97%match100¢
The University of Michigan's July consumer confidence index rose to 55.2, exceeding market expectations.
52.0–54.947news.jp98%match96¢+4%
The University of Michigan's July consumer confidence index rose to 55.2, exceeding market expectations.
43.0–45.947news.jp97%match88¢+14%
The University of Michigan's July consumer confidence index rose to 55.2, exceeding market expectations.
49.0–51.947news.jp97%match96¢+4%
The University of Michigan's July consumer confidence index rose to 55.2, exceeding market expectations.
46.0–48.947news.jp97%match100¢
The University of Michigan's July consumer confidence index rose to 55.2, exceeding market expectations.
≥55.0ifre.com97%match65¢+54%
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment up at 55.2 in final July reading (mkt 54.0)
40.0–42.9ifre.com95%match100¢
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment up at 55.2 in final July reading (mkt 54.0)
52.0–54.9ifre.com97%match60¢+67%
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment up at 55.2 in final July reading (mkt 54.0)
43.0–45.9ifre.com95%match92¢+9%
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment up at 55.2 in final July reading (mkt 54.0)
49.0–51.9ifre.com95%match99¢+1%
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment up at 55.2 in final July reading (mkt 54.0)
46.0–48.9ifre.com95%match99¢+1%
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment up at 55.2 in final July reading (mkt 54.0)
≥55.0Walter Bloomberg98%match51¢+96%
U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT TOPS ESTIMATES • • University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose to 55.2 in July, above the 54.0 consensus and up from 49.5 in June. • • One-year inflation expectations held at 4.2%, down from 4.6% in June, while the five-year outlook remained at 3.3%, pointing to stable long-term inflation expectations.
40.0–42.9Walter Bloomberg98%match100¢
U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT TOPS ESTIMATES • • University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose to 55.2 in July, above the 54.0 consensus and up from 49.5 in June. • • One-year inflation expectations held at 4.2%, down from 4.6% in June, while the five-year outlook remained at 3.3%, pointing to stable long-term inflation expectations.
52.0–54.9Walter Bloomberg98%match60¢+67%
U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT TOPS ESTIMATES • • University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose to 55.2 in July, above the 54.0 consensus and up from 49.5 in June. • • One-year inflation expectations held at 4.2%, down from 4.6% in June, while the five-year outlook remained at 3.3%, pointing to stable long-term inflation expectations.
43.0–45.9Walter Bloomberg98%match92¢+9%
U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT TOPS ESTIMATES • • University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose to 55.2 in July, above the 54.0 consensus and up from 49.5 in June. • • One-year inflation expectations held at 4.2%, down from 4.6% in June, while the five-year outlook remained at 3.3%, pointing to stable long-term inflation expectations.
49.0–51.9Walter Bloomberg98%match99¢+1%
U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT TOPS ESTIMATES • • University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose to 55.2 in July, above the 54.0 consensus and up from 49.5 in June. • • One-year inflation expectations held at 4.2%, down from 4.6% in June, while the five-year outlook remained at 3.3%, pointing to stable long-term inflation expectations.
46.0–48.9Walter Bloomberg98%match100¢
U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT TOPS ESTIMATES • • University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose to 55.2 in July, above the 54.0 consensus and up from 49.5 in June. • • One-year inflation expectations held at 4.2%, down from 4.6% in June, while the five-year outlook remained at 3.3%, pointing to stable long-term inflation expectations.
≥55.0livesquawk97%match51¢+96%
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Jul F: 55.2 (est 54.0; prev 54.4) • - Current Conditions: 54.8 (est 54.6; prev 54.9) • - Expectations: 55.4 (est 53.5; prev 54.0) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.2% (est 4.3%; prev 4.2%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
40.0–42.9livesquawk95%match100¢
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Jul F: 55.2 (est 54.0; prev 54.4) • - Current Conditions: 54.8 (est 54.6; prev 54.9) • - Expectations: 55.4 (est 53.5; prev 54.0) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.2% (est 4.3%; prev 4.2%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
52.0–54.9livesquawk97%match60¢+67%
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Jul F: 55.2 (est 54.0; prev 54.4) • - Current Conditions: 54.8 (est 54.6; prev 54.9) • - Expectations: 55.4 (est 53.5; prev 54.0) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.2% (est 4.3%; prev 4.2%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
43.0–45.9livesquawk95%match92¢+9%
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Jul F: 55.2 (est 54.0; prev 54.4) • - Current Conditions: 54.8 (est 54.6; prev 54.9) • - Expectations: 55.4 (est 53.5; prev 54.0) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.2% (est 4.3%; prev 4.2%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
49.0–51.9livesquawk95%match99¢+1%
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Jul F: 55.2 (est 54.0; prev 54.4) • - Current Conditions: 54.8 (est 54.6; prev 54.9) • - Expectations: 55.4 (est 53.5; prev 54.0) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.2% (est 4.3%; prev 4.2%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
46.0–48.9livesquawk95%match100¢
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Jul F: 55.2 (est 54.0; prev 54.4) • - Current Conditions: 54.8 (est 54.6; prev 54.9) • - Expectations: 55.4 (est 53.5; prev 54.0) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.2% (est 4.3%; prev 4.2%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)

What is this event about?

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for July 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for July 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for July 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

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