University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026

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What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

49.0–51.947news.jp98%match100¢
The University of Michigan's August consumer confidence index rose to 51.7, exceeding market expectations.
52.0–54.947news.jp98%match100¢
The University of Michigan's August consumer confidence index rose to 51.7, exceeding market expectations.
55.0–57.947news.jp98%match100¢
The University of Michigan's August consumer confidence index rose to 51.7, exceeding market expectations.
58.0–60.947news.jp98%match100¢
The University of Michigan's August consumer confidence index rose to 51.7, exceeding market expectations.
61.0–63.947news.jp97%match100¢
The University of Michigan's August consumer confidence index rose to 51.7, exceeding market expectations.
64.0+47news.jp98%match100¢
The University of Michigan's August consumer confidence index rose to 51.7, exceeding market expectations.
49.0–51.9yna.co.kr96%match100¢
US August University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 51.7… Down for the First in Three Months Due to Inflation Concerns
<49.0yna.co.kr97%match100¢
US August University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 51.7… Down for the First in Three Months Due to Inflation Concerns
52.0–54.9yna.co.kr96%match100¢
US August University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 51.7… Down for the First in Three Months Due to Inflation Concerns
55.0–57.9yna.co.kr96%match100¢
US August University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 51.7… Down for the First in Three Months Due to Inflation Concerns
58.0–60.9yna.co.kr96%match100¢
US August University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 51.7… Down for the First in Three Months Due to Inflation Concerns
61.0–63.9yna.co.kr95%match100¢
US August University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 51.7… Down for the First in Three Months Due to Inflation Concerns
49.0–51.9ifre.com94%match99¢+1%
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment improves to 51.7 in final August reading
<49.0ifre.com94%match100¢
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment improves to 51.7 in final August reading
52.0–54.9ifre.com94%match99¢+1%
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment improves to 51.7 in final August reading
55.0–57.9ifre.com94%match100¢
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment improves to 51.7 in final August reading
58.0–60.9ifre.com94%match100¢
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment improves to 51.7 in final August reading
64.0+ifre.com94%match100¢
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment improves to 51.7 in final August reading
49.0–51.9livesquawk96%match99¢+1%
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Aug F: 51.7 (est 51.0; prev 51.0) • - Current Conditions: 51.9 (est 52.0; prev 51.8) • - Expectations: 51.5 (est 51.4; prev 50.6) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.0% (est 4.4%; prev 4.3%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
<49.0livesquawk96%match100¢
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Aug F: 51.7 (est 51.0; prev 51.0) • - Current Conditions: 51.9 (est 52.0; prev 51.8) • - Expectations: 51.5 (est 51.4; prev 50.6) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.0% (est 4.4%; prev 4.3%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
52.0–54.9livesquawk96%match99¢+1%
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Aug F: 51.7 (est 51.0; prev 51.0) • - Current Conditions: 51.9 (est 52.0; prev 51.8) • - Expectations: 51.5 (est 51.4; prev 50.6) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.0% (est 4.4%; prev 4.3%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
55.0–57.9livesquawk96%match100¢
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Aug F: 51.7 (est 51.0; prev 51.0) • - Current Conditions: 51.9 (est 52.0; prev 51.8) • - Expectations: 51.5 (est 51.4; prev 50.6) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.0% (est 4.4%; prev 4.3%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
58.0–60.9livesquawk95%match100¢
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Aug F: 51.7 (est 51.0; prev 51.0) • - Current Conditions: 51.9 (est 52.0; prev 51.8) • - Expectations: 51.5 (est 51.4; prev 50.6) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.0% (est 4.4%; prev 4.3%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
64.0+livesquawk95%match100¢
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Aug F: 51.7 (est 51.0; prev 51.0) • - Current Conditions: 51.9 (est 52.0; prev 51.8) • - Expectations: 51.5 (est 51.4; prev 50.6) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.0% (est 4.4%; prev 4.3%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
49.0–51.9News97%match100¢
*UMICH FINAL AUG. CONSUMER SENTIMENT FALLS TO 51.7; EST. 51
<49.0News97%match100¢
*UMICH FINAL AUG. CONSUMER SENTIMENT FALLS TO 51.7; EST. 51
52.0–54.9News97%match99¢+1%
*UMICH FINAL AUG. CONSUMER SENTIMENT FALLS TO 51.7; EST. 51
55.0–57.9News97%match100¢
*UMICH FINAL AUG. CONSUMER SENTIMENT FALLS TO 51.7; EST. 51
58.0–60.9News97%match100¢
*UMICH FINAL AUG. CONSUMER SENTIMENT FALLS TO 51.7; EST. 51
64.0+News97%match100¢
*UMICH FINAL AUG. CONSUMER SENTIMENT FALLS TO 51.7; EST. 51

What is this event about?

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

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