University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026<49.0
ResolvedOutcome: No$2Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
US August University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 51.7… Down for the First in Three Months Due to Inflation Concerns
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment improves to 51.7 in final August reading
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Aug F: 51.7 (est 51.0; prev 51.0) • - Current Conditions: 51.9 (est 52.0; prev 51.8) • - Expectations: 51.5 (est 51.4; prev 50.6) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.0% (est 4.4%; prev 4.3%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
NONews97%match100¢
*UMICH FINAL AUG. CONSUMER SENTIMENT FALLS TO 51.7; EST. 51
NONews98%match100¢
The final reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August was 51.7%.
NOdbnews97%match100¢
*MICHIGAN FINAL AUG. CONSUMER SENTIMENT AT 51.7; EST. 51.0
NOReuters97%match100¢
University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers Sentiment Final Aug 51.7 (Consensus 51.0) vs Preliminary Aug 51.0 and Final July 55.2
U.S. August Consumer Sentiment Index at 51.0… Falls for First Time in Three Months on Inflation Concerns
US consumer confidence fell for the first time in three months, amid concerns among households about the deteriorating economic situation and rising inflation. According to a survey published Friday, the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index for August dropped to 51 points, after reaching 55.2 points in July. #Arabic_Business
US ECON - Michigan Sentiment slips down to 51.0 in prel August estimate
US Univ. Of Michigan Sentiment Aug P: 51.0 (est 55.0; prev 55.2) • - Current Conditions: 51.8 (est 54.8; prev 54.8) • - Expectations: 50.6 (est 55.2; prev 55.4) • - 1-Year Inflation: 4.3% (est 4.2%; prev 4.2%) • - 5-10 Year Inflation: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.3%)
NONews98%match96¢+4%
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August was provisionally 51.0 (forecast 54.5).
Where does the news lean?
2YES15NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
data.sca.isr.umich.edu
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